The not so quiet American
war game
War game
The Pentagon stated verbatim a year and a half ago that Iran had the ability to launch a ballistic missile (2000 km, really?) to destroy Eastern and Southern Europe. It sadly reminded me of another announcement made by the US Defense Department alleging that Iraq possessed biological weapons few years ago! Same semantic, same strategic policy, same manipulation of primitive fears to destabilize citizens’ minds, opinions.
When the Pentagon referred allegorically to Europe to express concretely and visually the magnitude of the forthcoming danger, it deliberately aimed to rally unconsciously Europeans to their future objective. What they omitted is first geography isn’t a strong point in the common American education and, secondly Europe proved several times that she wasn’t as prompt as the US to wage wars. Staggering lack of accuracy here!
By pointing a malevolent finger at Iran, does the USA mean that Iran is next to be targeted?
After numerous and successful attempts to gather the European community to express its opposition against Iran that is developing its nuclear power, the next step to an escalating conflict is to hypothetically accentuate their growing power as a threat to our lifestyles, the goal of the Pentagon.
To the example of Iraq, did Iran display any ”casus belli” intentions? As every country in the world, its objective is to grow economically and ensure the defense of its territory. Does nuclear power involve uniquely the development of weapons or can it also be perceived as a development of new sources of energy? In what way Iran represents more of a danger than Pakistan or China? Both acquired the nuclear power recently! And if I recall well China is still communist and Pakistan is still religiously fundamentalist!
Why does the most powerful country see Iran as a potential threat to the equilibrium and the stability of the world, of its world? Iran belongs to the Middle East, area in religious conflict with the Western civilizations since the crusades. It’s the epitome of Shi'a Islam but the good news is that it is not a theocratic government anymore!
As I stop my argumentation here, I can’t help but making the analogy with Saudi Arabia. Then, what does make one the enemy and the other, the friend? After procrastination, one did not subject itself to the medieval ceremony of knights’ dubbing!
If Mnemosyne doesn’t betray me, the country of Cyrus the Great never did pledge allegiance to Amerigo Vespucci’s land. Why would it? Isn’t every country self-determined, sovereign on its own soil?
This time, Uncle Sam has to invoke a better reason to intervene militarily on the Iranian soil! Which American symbol building will the CIA (the punitive hand of the government) implode to create terror, indignation and nourish patriotism? The US government through their actions against its own citizens showed us its detachment, its indifference to their fates.
As I glance on the Iranian file, I’m stricken by the obvious, its geographical position. Embedded between the Caspian sea, the Persian gulf, the Strait of Ormuz and the sea of Oman, it becomes a geostrategic point, a flagrant and insulting access to Caucasia, the Middle East and Central Asia, that is to say a formidable and undeniable opening to the world. Isn't it the only route uncontrolled by the US? Touchè?
According to you what did make Panama primordial to the eyes of Uncle Nixon? Its canal. Why? Isn't it the gate to South America and the shortest one? Way to travel or to convey? Convey indeed! Convey what, then? What is the common denominator between Venezuela and Costa Rica? Why the conflict in Afghanistan? Why agreements were signed in Turkmenistan? Why deposing Hussein? The answer leads to who is the real threat, here, the virtual aggressor (the USA) or the “presumed” guilty of detaining too much of hydrocarbon? Touchè?
To understand my reasoning and get its quintessence, let’s run a historical background check. Remember the “Ajax Operation”? No, I guess it’s the consequence of the US navel-gazing!
Iran at that time is a democracy. In this favorable context, Uncle Roosevelt and Uncle Churchill feel confident enough to invest. And suddenly the Iranian government seizes the opportunity to nationalize the oil companies. For the US and British investments, this decision is tantamount to their finish-off. It concretely meant that the soils could no longer be exploited by anyone but the Iranian government. Imagine the contrite faces of this new age economical colonizers! It ineluctably led to the “coup”: the Ajax Operation.
As a direct result, Iran became a despotic monarchy supported by the same superpowers that went on war against Iraq. Is it a coincidence or will we daresay that American and British interests are dominant in the region? So, if I understood well the rules of the game, if you don’t do as I say, I will destabilize your country politically! Interesting values and principles!
As we figured it out previously Iran key-product is hydrocarbon. To our big astonishment, it is the OPEC’s second largest producer. It also holds 10% of the world’s proven oil reserves. And as if it was not enough, it has the second largest oil reserve after Russia. This fact could be insignificant if it was not credited by the following knowledge, Russia has started already to ride the depletion track.
It subsequently does explain and give credibility, first to the American interest and urgency to conquer and, secondly to the Iranian necessity to build and develop alliances through economical partnerships with France, Germany, China and Japan which are famous for their hydrocarbon and energy dependencies. Smart choice of alliances in case of any inadvertent or incongruous invasion… What would be the chances for France, Germany, China or Japan to align Uncle Bush’s ideology should the US go to war in the next years? Slight? Can we deduce logically that France and Germany were Iraq’s economical partners justifying their lack of interventionism military speaking?
In the search for new energies, natural gas is next, and guess what, Iran counts among the leaders in production and reserves! Touchè?
Furthermore and against any feudal economical perception on Iran; It has a 89% of literacy rate; Against all odds, it’s privileging state-of-the-art sectors and investments such as aerospace, consumer electronics, petrochemicals, nuclear technology. It’s developing biotechnology, nanotechnology, pharmaceuticals… Sectors appealing to high educated manpower that will provide products, services with higher added value, far from the Chinese model.
Economically they appear to adopt a western way of development that is to say based upon an accentuation of high technology industries where science, research and application of new technologies are the central pillars of their strategy.
Once Persia was a vast and flourishing empire, nowadays Iran is classified one of the “Next Eleven”, where is evil in the desire to be a large economy? Isn't America one? Coulè. (sunken)