Myth Of Divorce Rate In The US
Introduction
The current accepted stat is that divorce rate in the U.S. Is around 50%. That number seems high to me. By doing some simple analysis, we can try to dispel this myth.
- December 2015
Background
Apparently, this is one of those statistics that are difficult to compute. The divorce rate in America is not an exact science.
I am proposing a reasonable estimate process. I am asking everyone to take stock of their extended network of friends, colleagues and family. Make a list of all your contacts that are either married or widowed or divorced. Count up all the people who have only married once and add the widowed. Then count all the ones divorced, only one per person. Multiple divorces don't count additonally. Now, divide the total divorced by the sum of the married and divorced and multiply by 100 to get the result. Please round it to the nearest 10% and take the poll at the end. With sufficient people responding, we will be able to compute the average for all.
I started with my own circle of relations and came up with 100 individuals. They range in ages from 23 to 90. The percent I came up with was 22%. Granted that I am Asian and a Roman Catholic. I expected my number would be on the low side but it was still a surprise. My group of people included many races and religions and atheists and across generations. Please help me with this simple survey. My contention is that if enough people responds, we will have a pretty accurate number across the whole population.
Another Estimate
Another way to estimate divorce rate is calculation using the divorce stat per year.
Assume the divorce rate is 4.34 per 1000 per year. Assume 70 years total of life span.
The calculation should be 4.34 x 70 = 303.8 which translate to 30%.
Popular Poll
What is your personal experience on divorce rate among your circle?
Current Results
Date: 12/17/2015. Number voted: 1. Average Percent: 20 %
Date: 07/09/2016. Number voted: 7. Average Percent: 37 %
Summary
I hope to dispell the myth that divorce rate in America is near 50%. It is a detriment to our society when people decides to live together rather than form a foundation of marriage. I plan to update this hub periodically as more people take the poll.
Some Related Info
- Fifty Percent of American Marriages End in Divorce-Fiction!
Fifty Percent of American Marriages Are Ending in Divorce-Fiction! Summary of eRumor: Marriage has deteriorated so much that half the marriages in the Unit
© 2015 Jack Lee
