Grade of A- in Predicting September Quakes!
A Real Breakthrough (Now I've Gone and Done it)
As I suggested in a recent hub, I hadn't yet scored a breakthrough in reporting earthquakes, but I was expecting better accuracy in the near future. In August, there was a deadly quake in Iran that barely qualified as a significant event based on Magnitude alone and also barely made it inside the tail end of one of my predicted windows. But there were six such quakes of at least 6.5 Magnitude in that month so the results weren't really that significant (about 1.2Xs greater than expected). I was hoping for the trend in late August to continue into September, bringing a bit more significant quakes than the average (or more than four per month), but it resulted in just two such quakes.
The good news though is that both of those 7+ magnitude quakes occurred within two of four windows that I defined for that month in my last hub. The result of this rare success is that it equates to either a phenomenal amount of luck on my part or a strong implication of significance (more than 2.8Xs greater than expected due to chance alone). The results would have been a bit less significant if I hadn't added 110 more earthquakes to my astrological database (was 285, now at 295) and tweaked my prediction algorithms. From these changes I refined my predicted windows (making them of narrower focus and thus increasing the significance should a quake fall inside its boundaries). The proof as to whether or not this was a fluke will have to wait for more experiential data to flow under the proverbial bridge.
Shown above is a graph depicting the spikes of astrological aspects that define the centers of potential earthquake(s) of significance for the month of September of 2012. Below is a similar chart depicting the most likely times for earthquakes in October of 2012. The first window for October already had a quake in Colombia fall within it on the last day of September. In an update posted as a comment at the end of my last hub just 3 days before the quake, that country was second on my list of four possible countries within which I felt such a quake would be likely to occur. Unfortunately I didn't have my newer, more refined results before the quake of September 5th. If I had I would have suggested Oaxaca, Mexico as a possible location (about 900 miles northwest of Costa Rica, where that quake occurred).
Also, in the last comment/update to my hub that just preceded this one, I gave the window as centered on 1pm, GMT on October 1st, give or take 26 hours. Although the window opened 26 hours before this time, I now feel it will close four hours later, 30 hours after that time, or at 7pm, GMT on October 2nd. One possibility is that the quake that just occurred in Colombia could be a pre-shock to a larger quake (which may just happen before this first window in October ends). Peru, Chile, and Iran are other possible locations if a second quake occurs within this same window (I'm not saying that there will be another quake but I think the chances are still more than usual for another one occurring).
In order to facilitate publishing this hub as soon as possible, I will hold off going into detail about the other two small windows that follow the first one in October 2012 (I'll be using the comment section to give an update in the near future).
