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UFO Weather Report for May 2013

Updated on June 26, 2013
retrojoe profile image

MUFON UFO Journal author (March 1995, June 1996). Self published on UFO Window website from 1997 to 2002. Hubpages articles began late 2011.

UFO Intensity Map for the US states based on MUFON & NUFORC raw report data.
UFO Intensity Map for the US states based on MUFON & NUFORC raw report data.


Typically, May is not a big month for UFOs. The same can usually be said for the first half of each year, but in 2012 it was different. All the months then had sightings significantly higher than for the corresponding months in all of the years for the prior decade. Sightings continued to increase in frequency until January 20th of 2013. After that, the UFO reports slowed down noticeably, but May in 2013 seems to show that the UFO numbers are back on track to becoming equal to last year's levels by as early as June. In the graph below one can clearly see that the gap between last year's sightings numbers and this year's is narrowing considerably. If the current trend continues, the UFO report numbers for the coming summer months could well surpass the tallies for the same period last year.


June 2013 average daily value is a projection based on MUFON data through June 22.  Values for MUFON uses data just for USA and NUFORC uses data for both USA and foreign reports.
June 2013 average daily value is a projection based on MUFON data through June 22. Values for MUFON uses data just for USA and NUFORC uses data for both USA and foreign reports.


In other words, what we may have been experiencing over the last few months is a calm before a possible UFO storm or wave of activity. If such is to be the case, where might the center of the storm be? As would be usual, such a wave would take place in the western states. Oregon and Arizona have been in the forefront lately, but Oregon dropped out of the picture during a recent flap around Memorial Day while Arizona remained with a consistently high.frequency of sightings numbers (as reflected in the graphic map below). Also, there was a big flap near Phoenix, Arizona just before the UFO slow down in late January occurred across the United States.


UFO Intensity Map of US states for May 24-27, 2013 (resulting from MUFON & NUFORC raw sightings report data and factoring population density).
UFO Intensity Map of US states for May 24-27, 2013 (resulting from MUFON & NUFORC raw sightings report data and factoring population density).


In the map above it would appear that Wyoming and Montana show a higher concentration of sightings than in Arizona and New Mexico. Technically this is true but the results are not as reliable as for Arizona. The reason for this is that between MUFON and NUFORC's data, there was just one UFO report for each of the two northern states and 9 and 2 for Arizona and New Mexico respectively. The reason that those two northern states show a greater intensity with fewer reports is due to them having a much smaller population density than the two southern states. With Wyoming and Montana, if their reports were to be discredited, they would go from the top of the list down to the bottom. If Arizona lost one report for the same reason it would only make a slight dent in its ranking.


Combined MUFON & NUFORC sightings report data broken down by days of the week for the first four weeks of May 2013 (bars) plus the combined day of the week totals of MUFON & NUFORC foreign reports for the first 28 days of May 2013 (line).
Combined MUFON & NUFORC sightings report data broken down by days of the week for the first four weeks of May 2013 (bars) plus the combined day of the week totals of MUFON & NUFORC foreign reports for the first 28 days of May 2013 (line).


Now that I have pointed you in the direction of Arizona for the most likely “where” to be to witness a UFO, what day of the week might be best? Above is a graph showing how each day of the week fared during the first four weeks of May 2013. Saturday is typically a leader because more people are out and about to potentially witness a sighting. In other words, the numbers on that day are high usually not because there were more UFOs to see, but more people to see them and thus more reports filed. Sunday doesn't have that aspect going for it as much usually, but Sunday May 26th was different. That was the evening before Memorial Day so like other three day weekends, Sunday becomes like a second Saturday night in a row. That would seem to explain why that Sunday was the highest yielding day for sightings during May 2013. However, if we look at the foreign reports, where Memorial Day isn't a factor, Sunday was the highest weekday for reports during that month.

So it would seem that something was going on on that day of the week (especially demonstrated in the NUFORC data (that day had more than three times the daily average for the month). I have already predicted that my three UFO day cycles along with a newly discovered one of 26 days in length would peak together (as they last did in March 1974) on July 7-8 of 2013. The most prominent of these day cycles, if I were to pick just one, is of 7.1436 days in length (although the 6.76 day cycle may be just as prominent). That cycle was also peaking on May 26, 2013 (along with a cycle of 7.00755 days in length that peaked on or just after that day).



In the graphic chart above we see results of the MUFON report data only. The bars represent close encounters (UFOs in the US that are 500 feet or less from the witness) by the day of the month in May 2013 and the lines represent US reports where UFOs were within 501 feet to 1 mile of the witness and foreign reports. The US reports of UFOs within 501 feet to 1 mile from the witnesses regularly have strong showings on Saturday nights (along with Sundays on 5/12 & 5/26) while the foreign reports show very consistent high levels on Sundays. That is shown a bit more clearly in the graphic below which combines the CE reports into single bar totals.

My next UFO weather report (for June) should likely be coming out in 2 parts. The first one will be issued post haste to give a last minute heads up on the most likely location for a flap to occur on July 7-8 (and also probably including the day before). A more thorough report will follow the predicted flap at some point.


Copyright © 2013 Joseph W. Ritrovato


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  • retrojoe profile imageAUTHOR

    Joseph Ritrovato 

    5 years ago from Vancouver, WA (nextdoor to Portland, OR)

    UFO Weather Update: Looking at the first 10 days of raw UFO report data from MUFON (the NUFORC data is not yet available), it appears that the monthly numbers for June will translate to a daily average of 15.5 reports (the daily average for June a year ago was 14.1 reports). That number is a projection based on the average daily rate of 13.8 reports for the first ten days of June and an average daily rate of 12.3 reports the previous month (and assuming that things continue to accelerate).

    I would also like to bring up a point based on my estimate of their being more and stranger UFO cases to come during July 6, 7, 8 & 9 of 2013. As I related in the hub above (and in more detail in an earlier hub), this expected result is due to 4 cycles measured in days peaking at about the same time. The last time such an event occurred (in March 1974) there was a flap, mostly in France, but also there were lesser flaps in western Europe centered 21.5 days before and after the center of the major flap in France. If the same thing happens this time then June 16 & 17, and July 29 & 30 should also see more baffling UFO sightings appear than usual.

    There was also a lesser peak 757 days before the coming July 8, 2013 peak (on June 12-14, 2011), which can be seen in the MUFON data at that time. A similar peak should also occur 757 days after July 8, 2013 (on August 4, 2015). This last peak will be four months after a peak of a 3.19 year cycle and thus there should be a combined effect, along with the seasonal component, that should magnify the results further.

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