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2013 NBA Fantasy Basketball Projections

Updated on September 26, 2012
KD leads the pack once again.
KD leads the pack once again. | Source

In one of my previous hubs, "2012-13 Fantasy Basketball Rankings," I highlighted my top 100 fantasy basketball players. In this hub, I will give you projections for each player with a few added adjustments.

I mentioned how Durant has established himself as the #1 fantasy player. He's versatile, helps in all the percentages and contributes across the board. The one downside is his turnovers, but other than that, he's the best of the best.

Arron Afflalo gets a major upgrade in value. Moving up four rounds than where he would have went had he stayed in Denver. Jrue Holiday also sees a slight uptick.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 1-25

 
PTS
FG%
FT%
3PM
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TO
MIN
1. Kevin Durant, OKC
29.7
50%
88%
2.3
7.8
4.6
1.4
1.5
3.5
39.2
2. LeBron James, MIA
27.7
51%
78%
0.9
7.8
7.1
1.7
0.9
3.2
37.5
3. Chris Paul, LAC
19.9
49%
85%
1.4
4.2
10.1
2.5
0.1
2.4
36.7
4. Kevin Love, MIN
25.2
45%
83%
2.2
14.4
2.6
1.1
0.5
2.5
38.5
5. Russell Westbrook, OKC
20.7
44%
82%
1.0
5.4
7.2
1.7
0.4
3.6
36.5
6. Deron Williams, BKN
18.9
45%
84%
1.9
3.1
9.8
1.1
0.3
3.5
35.1
7. Andrew Bynum, PHI
20.1
56%
65%
0.0
11.5
1.4
0.5
2.1
3.0
36.2
8. Pau Gasol, LAL
17.4
58%
81%
0.0
10.3
3.7
0.5
1.5
2.0
37.4
9. Josh Smith, ATL
19.7
44%
64%
0.7
9.3
4.1
1.5
1.8
3.0
35.5
10. Dwyane Wade, MIA
22.4
48%
77%
0.5
5.1
5.2
1.5
1.4
2.7
34.1
11. Dwight Howard, LAL
19.5
60%
55%
0.0
14.7
1.9
1.4
2.4
3.7
39.4
12. Al Jefferson, UTA
20.1
50%
78%
0.0
10.2
2.3
0.7
1.9
1.1
36.3
13. DeMarcus Cousins, SAC
19.9
44%
73%
0.1
12.2
3.2
1.7
1.9
3.0
35.7
14. Kobe Bryant, LAL
25.2
45%
85%
1.1
4.7
5.7
1.1
0.5
3.2
33.2
15. Kyrie Irving, CLE
20.1
47%
87%
1.5
4.1
7.1
1.5
0.3
3.3
35.1
16. Dirk Nowtizki, DAL
24.6
46%
89%
1.1
7.2
2.7
0.8
0.8
2.1
34.7
17. LaMarcus Aldridge, POR
21.4
49%
77%
0.0
8.1
2.5
1.1
1.1
2.1
38.4
18. Paul Millsap, UTA
17.5
51%
78%
0.1
8.7
2.8
1.7
1.0
1.9
33.5
19. Marc Gasol, MEM
15.5
53%
77%
0.0
8.8
3.5
1.1
2.2
1.8
34.6
20. James Harden, OKC
17.5
45%
85%
1.5
4.1
4.1
1.5
0.4
2.3
32.5
21. Ty Lawson, DEN
16.6
48%
82%
1.3
3.7
6.7
1.7
0.1
2.7
35.2
22. Stephen Curry, GSW
18.7
49%
90%
2.5
4.4
7.3
1.9
0.4
3.7
34.2
23. Carmelo Anthony, NYK
25.7
45%
79%
1.2
6.8
3.2
1.1
0.3
3.1
36.1
24. Rudy Gay, MEM
19.3
44%
75%
0.8
5.8
2.9
1.7
0.9
2.5
38.7
25. Brandon Jennings, MIL
18.5
41%
82%
2.4
3.5
5.7
2.1
0.3
3.4
37.5
It's really quite simple.  All Stephen Curry has to do is stay healthy.  Just stay healthy, Curry.
It's really quite simple. All Stephen Curry has to do is stay healthy. Just stay healthy, Curry.

Thoughts on 1-25

Durant could flirt with 30 a game because he's just that good. The offense will be ran more through him and that should lead to a spike in assists. It's hard to believe that Durant could become an even better fantasy player, but it's entirely possible. This is also assuming that Westbrook plays more like a point guard, and allows Durantula to run the offense more.

You already know about Cousins' upside. It's immense. If he can stay out of foul trouble and get his head straight, the sky is the limit.

I can understand why anybody would be afraid to draft Stephen Curry. But think about this, if you can get 70+ games of Curry, you will probably get elite numbers. With Monta Ellis out of the picture, and less ball handlers around him, he will have many big asts games and he'll help you all across the board as usual. It also doesn't hurt that he will have flame throwers like Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes, and the pick-and-roll with David Lee to pad his assist numbers. The thing is, he has to stay healthy.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 26-50

 
PTS
FG%
FT%
3PM
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TO
MIN
26. Al Horford, ATL
14.9
55%
79%
0.0
9.1
2.7
0.7
1.8
2.0
32.5
27. John Wall, WAS
16.7
42%
82%
0.1
4.5
8.7
1.5
0.9
3.5
39.2
28. Serge Ibaka, OKC
10.1
59%
73%
0.0
8.9
1.1
0.8
3.3
1.5
31.2
29. Goran Dragić, PHO
16.9
47%
83%
1.4
3.2
8.4
1.5
0.1
3.2
37.4
30. Monta Ellis, MIL
22.1
44%
78%
1.6
3.5
5.1
1.8
0.1
3.4
38.7
31. Rajon Rondo, BOS
15.4
50%
65%
0.3
5.5
11.2
1.7
0.4
4.1
38.4
32. Greg Monroe, DET
19.9
50%
75%
0.0
10.2
2.2
1.2
1.2
2.1
35.2
33. Blake Griffin, LAC
23.4
53%
55%
0.0
12.1
2.8
0.7
1.0
2.1
37.7
34. Marcin Gortat, PHO
17. 3
57%
69%
0.0
10.5
1.0
0.8
1.8
1.9
34.3
35. David Lee, GSW
18.7
45%
78%
0.0
9.8
2.5
0.8
0.5
2.1
36.4
36. Paul Pierce, BOS
17.7
48%
85%
1.3
5.7
4.5
1.1
0.7
2.3
32.7
37. Andre Iguodala, PHI
14.4
43%
66%
0.9
6.1
5.8
1.5
0.8
2.7
38.7
38. Kyle Lowry, TOR
18.6
44%
84%
1.5
5.3
8.7
1.8
0.5
3.2
35.5
39. Danny Granger, IND
19.3
42%
85%
2.1
5.5
2.7
1.3
0.9
2.1
37.4
40. Arron Afflalo, ORL
19.7
47%
84%
2.2
4.5
3.1
1.0
0.4
2.0
37.7
41. Kevin Garnett, BOS
15.5
55%
85%
0.0
8.9
2.4
1.1
1.0
1.9
31.0
42. Mike Conley, MEM
13.9
44%
78%
1.1
3.2
7.1
1.8
0.1
0.1
35.9
43. Steve Nash, LAL
10.2
52%
90%
1.4
3.0
9.9
0.5
0.1
3.5
29.8
44. Marcus Thornton, SAC
19.8
45%
84%
1.9
3.5
3.1
1.5
0.4
2.5
37.4
45. Tony Parker, SAS
20.1
50%
75%
0.6
3.4
7.5
1.0
0.1
2.8
34.5
46. Eric Gordon, NOH
21.2
45%
82%
1.8
3.7
4.1
1.1
0.3
2.4
35.8
47. Roy Hibbert, IND
15.6
49%
75%
0.0
8.5
2.1
0.5
2.2
2.0
32.2
48. Chris Bosh, MIA
18.5
49%
78%
0.5
7.9
1.9
0.8
0.9
2.1
34.3
49. Paul George, IND
14.7
44%
81%
1.5
6.4
2.7
1.5
0.9
2.5
33.5
50 Anthony Davis, NOH
13.9
55%
70%
0.0
10.7
2.1
1.0
2.8
1.5
34.3
George is a great young talent, and could soon become the best fantasy player on the Pacers.
George is a great young talent, and could soon become the best fantasy player on the Pacers.

Thoughts on 26-50

Greg Monroe can improve coming off a terrific sophomore season. He plays on a mediocre team, and if his coach gives him 35 mins a game like he should, he can put up 20 and 10 almost every night.

Paul George is someone you should watch closely. He has unlimited upside, and his game is versatile. If he makes a leap forward, he could become a legitimate top 25 player.

Don't sleep on Paul Pierce. Never sleep on him. Every time someone thinks he's done, he has another incredible season. He'll be healthy for training camp, and Paul Pierce will be Paul Pierce.

Arron Afflalo goes into an incredible situation. He's the best player on a very bad team. He'll be asked to carry the load offensively, although Jameer Nelson will try his best to eat into his numbers. Afflalo is a legitimate 20 point scoring threat on a nightly basis on such an atrocious team. He's already coming off a pretty stellar season where he averaged, 15.2 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game, 2.4 assists per game, 1.4 three pointers made, and 47% shooting on a balanced Denver Nuggets team. Draft him with confidence.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 51-75

 
PTS
FG%
FT%
3PM
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TO
MIN
51. Joe Johnson, BKN
18.7
44%
81%
1.5
4.1
4.4
1.0
0.4
2.4
37.4
52. Gerald Wallace, BKN
13.4
48%
75%
0.9
6.9
3.2
1.7
1.0
2.1
35.5
53. Joakim Noah, CHI
11.9
51%
74%
0.0
10.4
2.9
1.0
1.7
2.1
32.5
54. Tyreke Evans, SAC
16.2
43%
76%
0.7
5.1
5.5
1.6
0.6
3.1
38.5
55. Jrue Holiday, PHI
15.4
47%
82%
1.1
3.2
6.9
1.8
0.5
2.9
35.1
56. Amar'e Stoudemire, NYK
20.1
49%
77%
0.0
8.1
2.2
0.7
1.5
3.1
36.2
57. Manu Ginobili, SAS
14.7
46%
88%
1.7
3.7
4.8
1.6
0.4
2.7
30.1
58. Danilo Gallinari, DEN
13.8
43%
85%
1.5
5.7
2.4
0.9
0.8
2.0
33.2
59. Tyson Chandler, NYK
10.5
60%
72%
0.0
9.9
1.1
0.8
1.5
1.5
31.4
60. Kris Humphries, BKN
12.5
50%
71%
0.0
11.1
1.7
0.5
1.1
1.9
32.4
61. Andrea Bargnani, TOR
24.1
45%
80%
1.5
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.9
1.8
35.1
62. Nicolas Batum, POR
14.3
46%
77%
2.1
5.8
2.7
1.5
1.1
2.0
34.5
63. Carlos Boozer, CHI
18.1
49%
72%
0.0
9.7
2.5
0.6
0.6
2.1
33.1
64. Javale McGee, DEN
11.4
51%
66%
0.0
9.5
1.1
0.7
2.1
2.5
27.5
65. Zach Randolph, MEM
18.9
48%
78%
0.1
10.5
2.1
0.5
0.7
2.2
34.2
66. Ricky Rubio, MIN
9.8
39%
81%
1.0
4.9
10.2
1.9
0.5
3.4
34.7
67. Kenneth Faried, DEN
12.3
54%
74%
0.0
8.7
1.7
0.8
1.2
1.5
28.2
68. Nene, WAS
14.7
52%
65%
0.0
8.1
2.4
0.9
0.9
2.1
31.2
69. Gordan Hayward, UTA
13.5
45%
86%
1.1
4.5
3.5
1.0
0.7
2.0
32.2
70. Wesley Matthews, POR
16.1
44%
85%
2.1
3.2
1.9
1.3
0.3
1.9
34.9
71. Ersan Illyasova, MIL
14.8
48%
78%
1.0
8.5
1.0
0.8
0.9
1.0
27.5
72. Mo Williams, UTA
15.7
44%
84%
1.5
3.2
6.1
1.1
0.3
2.7
30.1
73. Brook Lopez, BKN
18.7
50%
80%
0.0
7.5
1.2
0.5
1.8
1.9
32.9
74. Jason Terry, BOS
16.2
45%
85%
1.7
3.1
3.7
1.2
0.1
2.2
28.4
75. Jeremy Lin, HOU
16.5
46%
75%
0.8
4.1
7.1
1.4
0.5
3.5
34.2
Houston has a problem, and it's Linsane.
Houston has a problem, and it's Linsane. | Source

Thoughts on 51-75

Jrue Holiday. Probably should have him higher on this list. I really like him to excel without the threat of Andre Iguodala. There's still Evan Turner to worry about, but I don't think you have to worry too much. Bynum and Jrue are both full of fantasy goodness in Philadelphia this season.

Don't give up on Amar'e. He's a good bounce-back candidate. You could get great value for him in this draft. He's a legitimate 20 point scoring threat. Don't let him slip past you.

Jeremy Lin is intriguing. If he can stay healthy, he can put up some pretty big fantasy numbers in Houston. An All-Star season isn't out of question.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 76-100

 
PTS
FG%
FT%
3PM
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TO
MIN
76. Kevin Martin, HOU
20.2
43%
87%
1.9
3.4
2.2
0.9
0.3
2.5
33.1
77. Klay Thompson, GSW
17.7
45%
85%
2.1
3.1
2.1
1.0
0.4
2.0
34.4
78. Derrick Favors, UTA
12.5
53%
69%
0.0
10.1
1.4
0.5
1.2
1.8
30.1
79. Jeff Teague, ATL
12.8
44%
79%
0.8
4.1
5.4
1.8
0.7
2.5
31.2
80. José Calderón, TOR
10.8
48%
85%
1.0
4.1
7.5
1.0
0.3
1.8
26.5
81. Rodney Stuckey, DET
17.4
44%
85%
0.8
3.3
4.9
0.9
0.2
2.0
32.4
82. Ryan Anderson, NOH
14.2
43%
82%
2.4
6.8
1.1
0.6
0.5
1.5
27.2
83. Evan Turner, PHI
12.4
45%
72%
0.5
5.9
3.2
0.9
0.7
2.0
28.2
84. Derrick Rose, CHI
22.5
43%
87%
1.4
3.5
7.2
0.9
0.6
3.0
34.2
85. Tim Duncan, SAS
13.4
49%
73%
0.0
9.1
2.5
0.7
1.4
1.8
28.1
86. Nikola Pekovic, MIN
14.8
55%
75%
0.0
8.2
0.9
0.5
0.9
1.8
30.1
87. Andrew Bogut, GSW
12.2
50%
51%
0.0
9.2
2.3
0.5
2.5
2.0
29.4
88. Isaiah Thomas, SAC
13.4
45%
83%
1.4
2.9
6.2
1.5
0.1
2.3
28.5
89. Anderson Varejao, CLE
11.5
53%
65%
0.0
10.9
1.5
0.7
1.0
1.5
27.4
90. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, CHA
14.9
44%
75%
0.5
6.5
2.1
1.1
0.8
2.4
33.5
91. Raymond Felton, NYK
12.8
43%
80%
1.5
3.5
6.5
1.1
0.4
3.0
29.5
92. Luis Scola, PHO
14.7
50%
73%
0.0
7.5
2.0
0.5
0.5
2.2
30.1
93. Luol Deng, CHI
16.3
43%
78%
1.5
6.9
3.1
1.0
0.8
1.8
37.5
94. DeMar DeRozan, TOR
18.2
45%
82%
0.7
4.5
2.1
0.9
0.5
2.0
35.1
95. Chris Kaman, DAL
11.8
48%
72%
0.0
8.7
1.7
0.5
1.1
1.9
29.4
96. Elton Brand, DAL
10.4
49%
75%
0.0
7.2
1.5
1.0
1.3
1.8
27.2
97. Harrison Barnes, GSW
13.5
44%
75%
1.1
4.5
1.9
0.9
0.2
2.2
26.5
98. Darren Collison, DAL
11.7
46%
85%
1.0
3.2
6.1
1.0
0.2
2.3
31.4
99. David West, IND
13.9
49%
81%
0.0
7.4
2.2
1.0
0.9
2.0
29.2
100. George Hill, IND
12.3
45%
80%
1.0
4.4
4.6
1.1
0.3
1.5
30.1
Kevin Martin is a nice high-risk/high-reward type player you can nab later.
Kevin Martin is a nice high-risk/high-reward type player you can nab later.

Finals Thoughts on 76-100

Kevin Martin is a player here with top 35 upside. The question is, can he stay healthy, and can he coexist with Kevin McHale. Kevin McHale won't hesitate to bench KMart, so when you take him, realize there's the possibility that he could lose playing time. But if KMart is like the old one, he'll pad your FTs, hit a lot of threes, and score a lot of points.

This could be a big year for Favors. If only we could trust Ty Corbin. Cross your fingers and hope he gets 30 minutes a game.

Luol Deng should have had that wrist surgery. He could be too low on this list, but it's hard to like him for next season even though the Bulls will be without Rose. It is set up perfectly for him to be a great fantasy player without Rose in the picture for the first half of the season, but there's a huge but. Deng is a risky play this season by not opting to have that surgery. He could have many games this year where he sits out because of his wrist flare ups, and if it gets too bad, you could have him sitting on your IR for months if he has to have surgery. Avoid if you can.

Speaking of Rose, if you are in a keeper league, and his owner didn't keep him, don't hesitate to take him 3-5 rounds before he's going in standard leagues this season. He'll probably be out all of the first half, but you are getting an outstanding keeper back, and if you are still in the playoff hunt or have a shot at winning your roto league, that's even better. Even if you are in a standard league, it won't hurt to stash Rose on your IR. He could help you win in the fantasy playoffs(if you make it), or help you make up some ground in roto leagues.

Darren Collison versus George Hill. Go with Collison because he's in an offense that fits him more. Indiana wasn't suited to his talents. He will run more pick and rolls in Dallas, and should see a slight uptick in assists. He should be a better fantasy player than Hill.

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    • Angel Flores profile image

      Angel Flores 5 years ago from Santa Ana, California

      Ill be honest, if i'm not lucky enough to draft LeBron, KD or KLOVE im going with JSmoove... He's always been a fantasy monster. Also Iggy's numbers should be insane. Tony Parker is going to finish higher than your ranking. Melo is a top 10 fantasy player with that ISO offense, that LIllard/LA/Batum combo is going to be nice to watch... Klay's #'s are going to be inflated... Nice list... about Pau thou.... haha

    • GiancarloLorenzo profile image
      Author

      Ray Williams 5 years ago from Little Rock, Arkansas

      Thank you.

    • dontaytte profile image

      dontaytte 5 years ago from Palos Hills

      Great hub

    • GiancarloLorenzo profile image
      Author

      Ray Williams 5 years ago from Little Rock, Arkansas

      LOL, I know a lot of people who don't like Stuckey.

    • profile image

      Javier 5 years ago

      Good list, I think Rodney stuckeys projection is way too high tho, that guy totally blows