How Iran Can Close the Strait of Hormuz Oil Trade Route

In 1940 or so, America imposed an oil embargo on Japan. Unbeknownst to the US government then was it forced Japan to be so angry it was will to go to war and that is how the Pearl Harbor plan was formulated. It provoked a desperate regime to make a desperate move.

So, as the latest and most damaging sanctions begin to take effect on Iran's ability to ship and sell oil, history could repeat with Iran acting out of anger and hatred by choking and disrupting the oil tanker routes that carry 17 million barrels of oil daily past the Strait of Hormuz, which is only 21 miles wide at its narrowest and its shipping lanes are a mere two miles wide! This area carries 20% of the world's oil, much of it going to China, some to Europe. Everyday, 14 oil tankers creep slowly through the narrow thread past the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and their navy are all visible. The sea lanes pass close by to Iranian held islands containing ship to ship missiles. One could easily sink a tanker and spill its cargo.

Even a brief closure would cause oil markets to zoom up in price, it would cause alternate routes like the 745 mile pipeline across Saudi Arabia to the Red Sea or via the Iraq-Turkey pipeline to the Mediterranean. America does not receive much of its oil from this area.

Iran must be tempted. They seem to yearn for a "punk nation to stand up to the Great Satan". Iran could conduct a large, "Pearl Harbor" style attack. Waiting for several oil tankers traversing in line and sinking them simultaneously with missile attacks causing mayhem for months. They could seize one or two and hold them as hostages. They could harass the tankers with their speed boats and aircraft.. Perhaps the best indirect way would be to release and plant their thousands of mines into the ocean, as they did once before on a small scale. The currents would take them further, tankers and naval ships would have to slow or avoid them, disrupting the whole sea lane. With so many mines, the shipping lanes would be stopped and with Iran having anti-ship missiles, clearing the mines would take at least a month or more, assuming Iran does not use them or seize tankers.

The mine warfare would provoke the US in an overt strike, this would unleash whatever Iran could toss into Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, all within range. Clearly, Iran does have military cards to play. Sure, they would lose in the end, but the price to for the world in the end would be high.

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vrajavala profile image

vrajavala 4 years ago from Port St. Lucie

Wikipedia

In 1940 Japan invaded French Indochina in an effort to embargo all imports into China, including war supplies purchased from the U.S. This move prompted the United States to embargo all oil exports, leading the Imperial Japanese Navy to estimate that it had less than two years of bunker oil remaining and to support the existing plans to seize oil resources"

It appears that the YS was attempting to protect China, and that set off the series of event.


vrajavala profile image

vrajavala 4 years ago from Port St. Lucie

300,000 casualties in Nanking, former capital of Rep of China by imperialistic Japanese military.


perrya profile image

perrya 4 years ago Author

Tragic events then and for a coming future, I suspect. the question is when in 2012. By Summer, I suspect.


poetvix profile image

poetvix 4 years ago from Gone from Texas but still in the south. Surrounded by God's country.

SIDE NOTE to anyone interested - I find it interesting, for lack of a better word, that the Bible itself has been changed so many times by man though man was most clearly told not to do so. For example, just the translations alone would make a truly word for word re-copy virtually impossible. I do believe they went something as follows, but please feel free to correct my memory… Arabic to Greek to Latin to Old English to Modern English and every other language known. Further of interest is the fact that a very old English King, one of the Edward’s, I don’t remember which, actually ordered some of the dates changed which has according to some scholars changed all of our dates since.

Having stated the above, it only makes sense to me that we must read said document with a heart open to hearing the spirit of it and not quibble over details such as what comes first when the gist is pick a side and take a stand.

Getting off my soap box now ;). God bless us all.


poetvix profile image

poetvix 4 years ago from Gone from Texas but still in the south. Surrounded by God's country.

Sooo sorry, It pasted the wrong comment and won't let me delete... grrr... this is what I intended to put here. (I always paste from word because I can't spell to save my life).

All of this seems so orchestrated, so manipulated. The people who passed the sanctions knew the reaction would be the one you speak of. They did not do it over the millions of people robbed of freedom there, the subjugation of all persons female, or daily oppression of opposing religious views, but rather over the flow of oil we don't use. Further, why is it our job to police the world. Why are we to be held responsible for what they do? See it's like a bunch of kids on a playground picking sides, spreading rumors, getting all worked up and stirring the pot. The closer we get to the election the more this will escalate. Also, I find it interesting, for lack of a better term, that knowing a squab is brewing our military's budget is being chopped with a huge axe and weekend daily by the same people purposefully doing what they know will instigate. I mean our people here not them. I have to wonder if us and them in regards to those with the power are as clear cut and defined as we would like to believe.

Thanks for much food for thought.


perrya profile image

perrya 4 years ago Author

Thanks!


radicalmovements profile image

radicalmovements 4 years ago from Lost in Hub Pages

If Iran oil is blocked, the shortfall will be quickly made up from elsewhere. There will be two big losers in this latest oil war if an “oil bomb” is dropped on Iran.

The first will be Iran itself. Without its main source of revenue, it will be forced to comply or to appear to do so with the terms laid down by Western powers.

The other big loser will be the American and other gas-buying consumers around the world. We’ll likely be paying sky-high prices for gasoline until the whole thing settles down. Here’s hoping whatever happens, it doesn’t last long.

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