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GOP Delegate Math Problem is the Solution

Updated on March 13, 2012

Historically, Super Tuesday is celebrated as the event which solidifies the political party candidate. When this is not the case, it typically spells trouble toward party unity in the general election. The Republican Party is unified in its rhetoric in making President Obama a one term President. When it comes down to putting those words into practice, none of the candidates are willing to walk that walk.

In fact, their actions speak volumes supporting quite the opposite. Ron Paul aside, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich need over 60% of the remaining delegates available to achieve the required number to be nominated on the first ballot at the convention in Tampa. They both claim they will not step aside, as they represent the non moderate anti- Romney constituency.

Mitt Romney needs about 47% of the remaining delegates to lock up the party’s nomination. On the surface, in a four candidate race, the odds are overwhelming dubious at best, yet attainable. One only needs to project the upcoming state contests to conclude the likelihood of Mr. Romney receiving one of every two delegates becomes an increasingly improbable scenario.

March 10 Delegates/Event

Kansas 40 Caucus Caucus Information from Kansas GOP

U.S. Virgin Islands 9 Caucus Caucus Information from VI GOP

Guam 9 Caucus Caucus Information from KUAM News

No.Mariana Islands 9 Caucus Caucus Information from Saipan Tribune

March 13, 2012

Alabama 50 Primary Primary Information from Alabama SOS

Hawaii 20 Caucus Caucus Information from Hawaii GOP

Mississippi 40 Primary Primary Information from Mississippi SOS

Amer.Samoa 9 Caucus Caucus Information from The Green Papers

March 17, 2012

Missouri 52 Caucus Caucus Information from Missouri GOP

-The February 7th "beauty contest" primary will not count for delegates toward the 2012 GOP convention. The Missouri Republican Party will hold a caucus on March 17th which will determine the delegates sent to the 2012 GOP convention – See report from CNN

March 18, 2012

Puerto Rico 23 Primary

March 20, 2012

Illinois 69 Primary

March 24, 2012

Louisiana 46 Primary

Factors to consider going forward…

The South was not kind to Mitt Romney last go around in the 2008 Primary: Here is the breakdown of the upcoming Southern States which will play a major role in determining the fate of the GOP.

Alabama (47), Mississippi (37), Louisiana (25), Arkansas (33), and Texas (155) or 297 delegates.

Winner-take-all state contests yet to occur:

California(169), Delaware(17), District of Columbia(16), Maryland(34), New Jersey(50), Puerto Rico(20), Utah(37),and Wisconsin(39) or 382 delegates.

Although Romney has won the ‘Winner takes all’ states of Arizona and Florida, The RNC may contest the results based on Rule 15 and 16; due to a proportional penalty to be imposed nullifying a portion of those delegates thereby awarding them to his contenders.

Despite the recent claims of Mr. Romney, a Brokered Convention may very well be exactly ‘what’s in the cards.’

The Republican Party may very well place their bet toward beating the incumbent President on the latecomer ‘Knight in Shining Armor’ in November.

The GOP Delegate Math problem may very well be the solution.


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    • gjfalcone profile image

      gjfalcone 5 years ago from Gilbert, Arizona

      Its should be an interesting end of March. Thanks for your kind words and comments Michele.

    • Michele Travis profile image

      Michele Travis 5 years ago from U.S.A. Ohio

      Thank you for another wonderful hub. Not a report like the media, that only reports what it is told to report.

    • gjfalcone profile image

      gjfalcone 5 years ago from Gilbert, Arizona

      Thanks for the vote up teaches12345. I believe you're right, it is just the beginning. Take care.

    • teaches12345 profile image

      Dianna Mendez 5 years ago

      Thanks for the summary and highlighting the important details. It is just beginning so keep updating us! Voted up!

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 5 years ago from USA

      As usual, the pleasure is mine!

    • gjfalcone profile image

      gjfalcone 5 years ago from Gilbert, Arizona


      I guess I've gone way around the bend. Maybe I'll catch a Hockey game on the NHL channel.

      Here we go... Lightning @ Capitals. Hummm; Tampa Bay vs. Washington;

      I can't get away from it Max.

      Thanks for checking in and for your comments Sir.

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 5 years ago from USA

      Now we just need a tv screen, a national channel and you as the host to cover the elections!

    • gjfalcone profile image

      gjfalcone 5 years ago from Gilbert, Arizona

      Thank you for your comments Gusser. I believe the ending will be interesting in 2012 as well.

    • profile image

      Gusser 5 years ago

      Reminds me of the DemoCANS in 2008. Hilary never caught up after Super Tuesday but stayed in it to the end.