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Ground Zero - The COVID-19 Scamdemic

Updated on August 8, 2020
John Iovine profile image

Science writer and experimenter. Conventionally published in science, technology, computers, personal development, health, & fitness.

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The world changed on March 16, 2020. What drove the United States and the rest of the world into this shelter-at-home, social-distancing, and economic lockdown? A flawed model from Professor Neil Ferguson, head of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at the ICL who has a history of providing flawed disease models.

Source: [https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf].

Neil Ferguson and the Imperial College London

Professor Ferguson released his study in March. His model study predicted 500,000 deaths in the U.K. and 2.2 million deaths in the U.S.

Ferguson and ICL’s Disastrous Track Record

Ferguson has a disastrous track record of exaggerating the numbers of death from diseases. Anyone looking at his track record would become immediately suspicious of any study. See a summary on the table below.

Source

Who looking at the past predictions of Ferguson and the ICL would not be suspicious of his current prediction?

Source: [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/28/neil-ferguson-scientist-convinced-boris-johnson-uk-coronavirus-lockdown-criticised/].

Source: [https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8294439/ROSS-CLARK-Neil-Fergusons-lockdown-predictions-dodgy.html].

More Suspicious Clues Regarding the ICL Report

Neil Ferguson and the ICL team didn’t released the original coding for their program used to make the predictions that 500,000 UK citizens and 2.2 million Americans will perish from Covid-19 without intervention. This is the proper etiquette and would have been allowed peer-review of the program’s mathematics and results.

Instead, it took Neil Ferguson and the ICL team more than a month to release the program code for outside experts to examine.
Source [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/04/19/experts-largely-positive-computer-coding-thatled-coronavirus/]

There is an ongoing debate if the program released is actually the original program coding. This debate prompted repeated calls to the ICL to release their original program code.

Source:[ https://www.aier.org/article/imperial-college-model-applied-to-sweden-yields-preposterous-results/]

University of Washington Confirms ICL

The University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) in Seattle also predicted in March that our health care system would be overrun, seemly to confirm the ICL model. Source: [https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1].

The only solution was to implement drastic lockdown measures.

First, They Duped the President, then the Country

March 16, 2020. Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director of NIAID and advisor to President Trump, received the ICL study. Dr. Fauci is a top-rated scientist. The ICL prediction model was not peered reviewed. The model’s program and code were NOT released for examination. These two facts should have made Dr. Fauci skeptical of accepting this prediction.

The real scandal is Dr. Anthony Fauci accepting anything Neil Ferguson, and the ICL predicted.

Sweden’s chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell, who received the same ICL report discarded it.

The Okeydoke

Contrary to common sense, Dr. Fauci accepted the un-verified, non-peer reviewed ICL prediction, from Neil Ferguson who previously made very bad predictions. Dr. Fauci, our country’s top science adviser on disease, with his accomplice Dr. Deborah Birx, ran to President Trump and presented as fact, a faulty prediction that stated 2.2 million Americans will die from COVID-19 unless drastic lockdown measures were taken.

Source: [https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf].

Had Dr. Fauci conferred with Dr. John Ioannidis, epidemiologist at Stanford University, or the researchers at the New England Journal of Medicine, we could have avoided this scamdemic lockdown.

President’s Trump intuition previous to Fauci’s presentation was that this whole COVID-19 pandemic was overplayed. He was right, but the fake mainstream media mob was screaming to “follow the science.”

Unfortunately, the “science” as it turns out was Trump’s own White House Coronavirus Task Force advisors Dr. Anthony Fauci and Dr. Deborah Birx.

Something Smells Rotten

Dr. Fauci is the director of NIAID, one of our nation’s top scientist. I struggle with the fact that neither Dr. Fauci nor anyone on his team never checked or knew about Neil Ferguson’s previous faulty predictions? No due diligence on Ferguson’s ICL report before presenting his prediction as fact to the president of the United States?

This doesn’t pass the smell test. Dr. Fauci, you are advising the President of the United States on making a decision that affects over 300 million people and costing trillions of dollars, and you don’t double-check your information before advising him. I repeat, something smells rotten.

Consider if President Trump had been presented with the chart detailing Ferguson’s previous prediction failures, shown above, would he have taken the current prediction from Ferguson seriously?

As reported in the Gateway Pundit:

President Trump: “The big projection being that 2.2 million people would die if we did nothing. That was another decision we made — close it up. That was a big decision that we made. Two very smart people walked into my office and said, listen, these are your alternatives. And that was a projection of 1.5 to 2.2 million people would die if we didn’t close it up. That’s a lot of people.”

Those two “very smart” people were Dr. Anthony Fauci and Dr. Deborah Birx.

Source: [https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/05/will-dr-fauci-dr-birx-serve-time-prison-destroying-us-economy-based-ridiculous-imperial-college-model-now-proven-complete-trash/].

March 25, 2020

Stanford stated that the fatality rate quoted in the ICL model was by order of great magnitudes exaggerated. “If it’s true that the novel coronavirus would kill millions without shelter-in-place orders and quarantines, then the extraordinary measures being carried out in cities and states around the country are surely justified. But there’s little evidence to confirm that premise — and projections of the death toll could plausibly be orders of magnitude too high.”
Source: [https://fsi.stanford.edu/news/coronavirus-deadly-they-say].

March 26, 2020

ICL Death Predictions Reduced by 96% (No Fake News Press)

On March 26, the dire predictions from Neil Ferguson of 500,000 U.K. deaths was reduced to 20,000 deaths. That’s a 96 percent reduction in deaths predicted. While these reduction in deaths was noted in news reporting for the U.K., I haven’t seen the reductions applied to the U.S. numbers. If we apply the same percentage reduction the ICL prediction lowers to 88,000 deaths in the U.S.

None of this information was reported by the fake news media and therefore did not make it into the public consciousness. Why? Because it did not fit the liberal mainstream media agenda. Nor did this reversal of the dire predictions from ICL’s Neil Ferguson impact any state lockdown in the U.S.

Source: [https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/mar/26/uk-epidemiologist-radically-lowers-his-predicted-c/]

Source: [https://dailycaller.com/2020/03/26/neil-ferguson-coronavirus-imperial-college-doomsday/]

The ICL Ferguson Hustle

Neil Ferguson and the ICL explained that the reduction in the projection deaths have to do with the “Policies adapted”, meaning the lockdown policies, quarantine, face masks and social distancing are having their desired effect on reducing COVID-19 deaths, but he also modified his program code to use a lower case fatality rate (CFR).

Source: [https://reason.com/2020/03/27/no-british-epidemiologist-neil-ferguson-has-not-drastically-downgraded-his-worst-case-projection-of-covid-19-deaths/]

Not So Fast Mate: I’ll Take Sweden For the Win

Remember the program the ICL released for examination? While the ICL only released predictions for the US and the UK, the program is in theory adaptable for any country. Well a team of researchers at Uppsala University used the ICL program to predict the COVID-19 model for Sweden. The team created a “unmitigated” response, which is the “do nothing” response. The ICL model predicted catastrophic results unless Sweden followed emergency lockdown procedures as had been adapted in the US, UK, and the rest of Europe.

The ICL model predicted 40,000 deaths by May 1, 2020 ballooning to 96,000 Swedish deaths by June 30, 2020. The confidence interval of the ICL model was between 52,000 deaths and 183,000 deaths

Sweden’s government fortunately did not follow the ICL model predictions and recommendations to lockdown. Nor did Sweden’s government bend its knee to the hysterical ranting of the fake news media.

Sweden stood tall and did NOT lockdown their country. Businesses, restaurants, and stores remained open. Sweden asked its citizens to follow common sense and mild interventions. Like if you’re sick, stay home, wash your hands, that kind of stuff. Sweden’s death toll stood at 2,461 on April 29, 2020. Far below the dire 40,000 death predicted by the ICL model.

And for all the fake news reporting and hysteria about Sweden that followed their decision not to lockdown, their death toll rates were lower than the United Kingdom, Italy, and France and other countries who did imposed the draconian lockdowns on their citizens and businesses. Sweden pulled far ahead economically and intellectually.

The ICL model failed, big time! Don’t expect to hear that in the fake news media.

Source: [https://www.aier.org/article/imperial-college-model-applied-to-sweden-yields-preposterous-results/]

If we extrapolate this response to the United States, it becomes apparent we’ve been hustled. Grab your old platform shoes and play some disco music and … do the hustle!

IHME Predicted Sweden will have 2300 Deaths Per Day

On May 3, 2020 the IHME predicted that unless Sweden followed the global trend to lockdown its country with draconian measures up to 2,300 Swedes will die daily within 11 days. They predicted a total of 75,000 deaths.

Sweden didn’t lock down and the predicted deaths by the IGME never occurred.
Source: [https://www.herald.ng/fear-groupthink-drove-global-lockdowns/]

The Big Take Away

The big fear for the fake news media is when enough people do not follow their panicked stricken lockdowns, and their dire predictions of death and destruction do not come to pass, it exposes them for the fake news that they are.

That’s what Sweden has done, exposed the fake news media, government agencies and politicians. Our government officials will try to bamboozle you with their “safer lockdown” decisions by saying something to the effect of, “Well we don’t know what would have happen if we didn’t implement these lockdowns…. Or how many millions of people may have died.”

That’s not true. We do know, Sweden showed us. Do the hustle!

Neil Ferguson Admits Sweden Achieved the Same Without Lockdown

Neil Ferguson admitted that Sweden achieved the same repression of the COVID-19 virus without the draconian lockdowns imposed in the U.K. and U.S.

Source: [https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8379769/Professor-Lockdown-Neil-Ferguson-admits-greatest-respect-Sweden.html]

Source: [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/06/02/prof-lockdown-neil-ferguson-admits-sweden-used-science-uk-has/]

Do the hustle!

April 7, 2020

IHME Death Predictions Revised (No Fake News Press)

However, by April 7, 2020, IHME revised its model down to 200,000 deaths. Later, it was revised again to 60,000 deaths. They said the reason for the downward predictions was the addition of social distancing and lockdown measures.

Source: [https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ex-nyt-reporter-challenging-the-coronavirus-narrative].

State Draconian Lockdowns Not Revised

You would think all these revised predictions and mea culpas’ would reduce the draconian lockdowns. Nope, no impact on the lockdown status. The governors who took the emergency powers act and took authoritative control of their states did not relinquish their emergency power and did not revise their lockdown commands, in direct contrast to the revised predictions.

Connections

There are several open loop connections. I don’t know if any of these connections tie together, but I find them interesting.

Gates Foundation and ICL

Between 2006 and 2018, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation had invested close to $200 million into Ferguson’s ICL. Love him or hate him, Bill Gates is not a stupid man. Why would Gates continue to invest millions of dollars into Ferguson’s ICL modeling operations considering its catastrophic lack of accuracy?

Source: [https://donations.vipulnaik.com/donee.php?donee=Imperial+College+London].

Gates Foundation and IHME

In 2016, IHME received 210 million dollars from the Gates Foundation to fund a new building. In the following year, 2017, IHME received 279 million dollars from the Gates Foundation for work over the next decade.

Sanofi Pasteur is a Multinational Vaccine Manufacturer

Dr. Anthony Fauci engaged the company Sanofi Pasteur in 2009 to produce the H1N1 swine flu vaccine. One of Sanofi’s listed investors is George Soros (2011). The Gates Foundation engaged Sanofi to work on micropellet technology for vaccines.

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services engaged Sanofi to develop a COVID-19 vaccine on February 18, 2020. Source: [https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/sanofi-joins-forces-with-us-department-of-health-and-human-services-to-advance-a-novel-coronavirus-vaccine-301006309.html].

In March 2020, Sanofi joined the Gates Foundation consortium to develop and manufacture vaccines for COVID-19. The data has since been removed from website.

This article is an excerpt from my book Scamdemic, available on Amazon.

Scamdemic Book Link

Comments

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    • John Iovine profile imageAUTHOR

      John Iovine 

      11 months ago from NY

      Interestingly, Hubpages Team has emailed me that my Ground Zero article isn't suitable to be featured. The Team recommended I change the article if I want it to be featured. There is a great deal of fake news and social media censorship on COVID-19. I'm not changing a word.

    • CHRIS57 profile image

      CHRIS57 

      11 months ago from Northern Germany

      Interesting read.

      I am only grateful that there is more in this world than British/American academic study conspiracies.

      My question would be: Does nobody of the experts do his own thinking? Why do you need comprehensive scrutiny of studies to do the obvious?

      Imho it does not matter if the menetekel on the wall is in large or small letters. (2 Million or 200.000 calualties). You have to prevent from smaller numbers as you have to prevent from larger numbers. Simple as it is. Don´t hunt scams. Not worth while - with due respect.

    • Ericdierker profile image

      Eric Dierker 

      11 months ago from Spring Valley, CA. U.S.A.

      Interesting and insightful - of maybe inciteful. It is hard to have a family and keep everyone knowing that it ain't that bad.

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