Why the polls are so tight

Jump to Last Post 1-2 of 2 discussions (6 posts)
  1. habee profile image93
    habeeposted 6 years ago

    AP and Gallup both have Obama up by one, Rasmussen has Romney up by two. I think I know why the polls are so tight. Romney's recent "hard line" has gained him more support in red states - but not in swing states. Obama seems to be pulling away in most of the swing states. So while Romney may be adding to his national support, he's not adding support where it matters - in the must-win swing states. See what I mean? Even if Mitt gets EVERY vote in SC, GA, AL, etc, it won't help him with the EC vote.

    Romney should have run as a moderate, which I believe he is at heart. Sure, he might have lost some of the far right, but they wouldn't have voted for Obama, anyway. Many commenters on rightwing news articles are applauding Mitt's "47%" statement. I've seen many comments like, "I didn't care for Romney before, but now he has my full support!" Does the Romney campaign think padding the vote in dark red states is going to help? He should have hired me as his campaign manager. lol

    1. Josak profile image61
      Josakposted 6 years agoin reply to this

      He really should have, until the 47% comment I really thought he was just a moderate in disguise to pander to the hardliners but given he said that off the record... It makes me sad really.

      I was amused that Fox had Obama ahead by 5%.

      But you are of course correct, people should be looking a the electoral college proportions not the overall if they want to know who is going to win.

      1. habee profile image93
        habeeposted 6 years agoin reply to this

        I still believe he's a moderate conservative but is being "handled" by a far right GOP, and that includes his choice of VP. Same thing happened with McCain. McCain was certainly a moderate in many ways, which is why the hard-liners never cared for him - until he chose Palin. It saddens me that my nation has become so divided that we can't elect someone in the middle.

      2. habee profile image93
        habeeposted 6 years agoin reply to this

        I'll bet FOX choked on that one! lol

  2. profile image0
    JaxsonRaineposted 6 years ago

    I have another theory habee...

    Maybe the conspiracy loons are right about this one... the president is just a figurehead controlled by the Bilderberg/Illuminati/Rothschild/Etc...

    It's more like watching an over-the-top drama sometimes, than what you would expect from real life. The Powers That Be saw that Romney was gaining too quickly on Obama, so they had to make some game changes.

    1. habee profile image93
      habeeposted 6 years agoin reply to this

      That's a scary thought.

 
working

This website uses cookies

As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://hubpages.com/privacy-policy#gdpr

Show Details
Necessary
HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
Features
Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
Marketing
Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
Statistics
Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)