What will the election results be?

1. 78

   tsadjatkoposted 12 years ago

   What will the election results be?
   
   OK, let's see who has the real crystal ball (or is just a good guesser?)
   Who will win the popular vote and by how much?
   Who will win the electoral vote and by how much?
   Will there be legal challenges to whoever wins?
   Will there be riots?
   Give us the scenario you see happening.
   
   

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2. 95

   Robephilesposted 12 years ago

   Obama will win the popular vote with around 50-51% of the vote. 
   
   Of the states that are currently considered "In- play" Obama will win:  Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Nevada, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire. 
   
   Romney will win Florida and North Carolina
   
   Virginia is too close to call, but either way Obama will have enough to win.

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3. 70

   Conservative Ladyposted 12 years ago

   Romney will be the next President of the United States after the November 5th election. He will win the electoral vote - not sure about the popular vote. Romney will take Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, and possibly Pennsylvania. It won't be a landslide but it will be enough to get the Obama's packed up and moved out come January 2013.

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   1. 61

      cascolyposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      despite republican efforts to curtail the vote, all states will allow voting until Nov 6th !!

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   2. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      I do not see how Romney could win all those states, and would probably win North Carolina and Virginia too, in any situation that was not a landslide.

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   3. 72

      Skarletposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      I hope so Conservative Lady. The Obama administration is throwing all the dirt they can, but most people are smart enough to see that he has failed miserably.

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   4. 60

      swb78posted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Poor Drones--they see the end of their messiah is near.

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   5. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      @swb78 
      
      Your use of the word drones confused me at first but perhaps you don't know the meaning of the word in context to US policy.

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   6. 60

      Taurean Dollposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      @swb78: Romney presented himself as a "turnaround artist" -- 'd guy w/ d quick fix for certain resuscitation -- but instead of laying out a mission that cud oust 'd messiah Obama, he kept his details hidden! Sorry Reps R running out of better cand8s!

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4. 70

   The Frog Princeposted 12 years ago

   Having lived through the Carter/Reagan election, study that history.  The silent majority is about to have to speak again.
   
   The Frog

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   1. 78

      tsadjatkoposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      For those not as "senior" as we are Carter's defeat is the most lopsided defeat for any incumbent president in an election where only two candidates won electoral votes.  Ronald Reagan beat Carter by almost 10 percentage points in the popular vote.

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   2. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      This election is different than Carter/Reagan in a number of key ways. 
      
      1.  No third party candidate.  (John Anderson)
      
      2.  No primary challenge to the President.  (Ted Kennedy) 
      
      and Romney "ain't no Ronald Reagan."

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   3. 72

      Skarletposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      I think you are right. The American people can't be foolish enough to vote for this again. When people say  that Romney is no Reagan, I don't think they are giving him a chance. When Regan was elected no one knew he was a "Reagan" yet.

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   4. 70

      Conservative Ladyposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Romney may not be Reagan BUT he is the closest we have seen since Reagan!

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   5. 78

      tsadjatkoposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      But Skarlet, then Robephiles doesn't have a zinger - guess have to makeup some thing else.

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   6. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      There is this Republican mythology that Reagan "came out of nowhere" but that isn't true.  He was the Primary Challenger to Gerald Ford in 1976.  In fact, he almost took the nomination away from Ford, fighting him all the way to the convention.

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   7. 78

      tsadjatkoposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Yeah and through it all he was portrayed by the democrats and the media as a fumbling cowboy, stupid 2nd rate actor who could never be president.

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   8. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      I was lived through the Reagan years, as you did.  He was a very effective campaigner.  He was also much more moderate than Republicans like to claim.  He defended gay teachers as Governor of California and was even to the left of Romney economically

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   9. 84

      My Esotericposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      We will never get to know of course, but my bet is that Romney, if elected, would have made a major swing back to the middle.  I see him, when left to his own devices, more of an Eisenhower type, if the truth be known.

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   10. 95

       Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

       I have thought this as well.  I had assumed that Romney would run a moderate campaign but he made it through the primaries and into the general election while still being fanatically right wing.  We will never know though.

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   11. 84

       My Esotericposted 12 years agoin reply to this

       I have to agree with @TSA about Reagan, the Dems did try that.  I lived in CA when he did, and knew better after seeing him as Governor, he knew how to govern, I even voted for him twice for Pres, although I wish I hadn't the second time.

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5. 71

   ambercita04posted 12 years ago

   I see Obama winning both popular and electoral. I think it will be very close - a win of less than 5% difference. I don't think there will be riots or any legal challenges.

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6. 61

   cascolyposted 12 years ago

   there'll be whining and complaining from the usual rightwing whiners & complainers but  Obama will win easily with about 290 electoral votes

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   1. 72

      Skarletposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      You mean like the whining and complaining left wingers did with Bush Gore?

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   2. 70

      Conservative Ladyposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      You hit right on the head Skarlet!

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   3. 60

      swb78posted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Yeah, Skarlet your absolutely right. Those of us with brains that can actually think logically remember the Sore/Loserman campaign--LOL

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   4. 61

      cascolyposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      great -- that's at least 3 people who wont be whining next week when obama wins!

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7. 0

   thegeckoposted 12 years ago

   A victory for many, a huge disappointment for many, and a reason to be melodramatically ridiculous for another 4 years for a few.

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   1. 72

      ImKarn23posted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Wondering why my comment was 'hidden' due to 'negative input' when all it said was that Obama was going to win - by a landslide?

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   2. 84

      My Esotericposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Not sure that it was, @IM, I had seen it.  They "hide" comments to save space, but you can click on "see all comments" and it should be there.

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   3. 72

      ImKarn23posted 12 years agoin reply to this

      I know they hide comments, but this said 'hidden due to negative input' - but - there was nothing negative about it - unless you're a romney fan, of course..lol

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   4. 84

      My Esotericposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Oh, bummer, nothing negative about that, like you said.

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8. 84

   My Esotericposted 12 years ago

   Given Obama is only just now recoverying from his dismal first debate performance and Romney's great to good performances, coupled with the fact that the national polls are stuck at neck-and-neck, I give Obama 51 - 52% of the vote.
   
   On the other hand, based on the analysis from my hub on the subject, at the moment, I project Obama gathering up 290 or 54% of the electorial votes; that is only because I am giving FL and VA to Romney, both toss-up states in my opinion.  Also going to Romney of the "battleground" states are AZ and NC.   My bet is Obama will be closer to 303 electoral votes with it is over.
   
   Here is the mathematical problem Romney faces.  Obama basically has 247 electoral votes "locked" up for I give him MN, MI, PA, and WI.  Romney, on the other hand only has 191 votes "locked" up after giving him AZ.  That leaves only OH, CO, VA, FL, NH, NC, NV, and IA up for grabs.
   
   If Obama wins FL, it is all over.
   
   If Obama wins OH, and it is very likely he will, then he only needs one other state to win.
   
   For Romney to win, he has to put together a minimum of four states, specifically, OH, VA, FL, and NC.
   
   If Romney doesn't win OH, which isn't likely, then he needs a minimum of six states, VA, FL, NC, CO, and two out of the three of NV, IA, and NH.
   
   Those are pretty long odds for Romney.
   
   I don't see any rioting or legal challenges either, just a lot griping.  However, there will be one big loser, regardless of who wins the Presidency ... AMERICA; because the People chose to pick enough members of Congress dedicated to compromising as to make Congress to continue to be ineffective for two more years.

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   1. 95

      Robephilesposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      This is pretty close to right.  I don't get how Republicans can be so smug when the statistics are making it very hard for Romney to win.  And Ohio and Wisconsin have been leaning further to Obama slowly since the debates.  Romney needs one of those.

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9. 58

   kmaskreationsposted 12 years ago

   Unfortunately, Obama will win by a margin.  No challenges by Romney. No immediate riots. Throughout the next 4 years, Obama will continue to bring about the destruction of our great nation.  By the third year of his second term, even die-hard democrats will want rid of him.  Romney will run again and win no matter who runs against him. But so much damage will have been done  it will take decades to undo.  My grandchildren's children will see riots and destruction the likes of which has never happened on American soil before.  All this because a group of old hippy, new age, power-hungry liberals decided to market one little cocky, stammering, clueless neighborhood organizer to be their puppet.  May God have mercy!

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   1. 61

      cascolyposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      destruction of america?  what about bush turning a trillion surplus into deficits from 2 immoral, unfunded wars?  tax cuts that made america the most unequal country in the industrial world?  it's amaziong obama has accomplished as much as he has

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   2. 84

      My Esotericposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Oohhaaa Cascoly, although only the Iraq war was immoral.  I cannot agree with you about Afghanistan; that was righteous although ineptly, almost criminally so, fought after the initial success.  Al Quada having reivented itself is proof of that.

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   3. 78

      tsadjatkoposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      "Prophetess" kmaskreations - the first part of your answer has come true - I hope this part "By the third year of his second term, even die-hard democrats will want rid of him" does too.

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