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UFO Sightings Weather Report

Updated on August 16, 2012
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MUFON UFO Journal author (March 1995, June 1996). Self published on UFO Window website from 1997 to 2002. Hubpages articles began late 2011.

Concentration of Sighting Reports (average of MUFON+NUFORC data) for 85 days from 3/12/12 to 6/4/12 (factoring population density).
Concentration of Sighting Reports (average of MUFON+NUFORC data) for 85 days from 3/12/12 to 6/4/12 (factoring population density).

In my last hub related to UFOs I tried to zero in on the best areas for UFO hunters to set their sights on. Unfortunately, the NUFORC data wasn't complete at that time. Things stand better this time around since NUFORC posted on 6/8/12. The above map charts out the best locations to witness UFOs, based on an average of the NUFORC and MUFON sighting reports (after removing duplicate entries and ones that appear to be either misidentifications, fantasies, or hoaxes) for an 85 day period (12 weeks) from 3/12/12 to 6/4/12.

Generally, sightings have been on a downward slope for the last 5 months (decreasing by 18% when comparing the last 6 months of last year to the first 5 months of this year), but that is not unusual since the last half of any given year almost always has more sightings than the first half. One promising sign is that things have been picking up during the last 30 days; not universally or for all states but in certain highly populated and key states such as California and Missouri. Currently Arizona and Texas are ahead of those last two states (based on sightings per population density), but these last two states have stayed at a constant level. If California and Missouri continue to have sightings increase in frequency, then there would be a strong possibility of them overtaking the other two states. Two states that appear to be slowing down in activity, after showing some signs of things picking up a month or two ago, are Pennsylvania and Florida.

Looking at just the MUFON data from the middle of April to early June, you can see a spike in the last 16 day period for the data given below (split into groups by distance of UFO to observer):


Date........501ft-1mile..101-500ft..21-100ft..0-20ft

4/17-5/2..........46.............18...............6............5

5/3-5/17..........47.............15...............3............4

5/18-6/2..........51.............27.............12............8



Another factor to consider in the statistics is the fact that 38% of the top 13 states listed in the spreadsheet below are states with a very low population density. Such a situation can artificially inflate the importance of a state, such as Alaska and Montana (in the 1st and 2nd positions). Also, many of these same states and those of moderately low population density, such as Nevada and Utah for the later, and (again) Montana for the former, have report numbers that differ greatly between those given by NUFORC and those given by MUFON (one of the reasons why I decided to average their numbers). What this means is, that for these states with extremely different reporting numbers, their ranking is more uncertain than with states who's figures agree closely between the two sources.

Spreadsheet showing breakdown of UFO activity in the US for 3/12/12 to 6/2/12, 12/31/11 to 1/1/12, the first 3 months of 2012 (incomplete NUFORC data) and the last 6 months of 2011.
Spreadsheet showing breakdown of UFO activity in the US for 3/12/12 to 6/2/12, 12/31/11 to 1/1/12, the first 3 months of 2012 (incomplete NUFORC data) and the last 6 months of 2011.

Considering my prediction for greater sightings of UFOs on 6/17, 6/24, and 7/1 (including the days before and after each of those days) and focusing on the states with the most reliable numbers, UFO hunters would best focus on such states as Arizona, California, and New Mexico. Also, I am making an exception and including Missouri and Texas, because the reason for the greater report numbers from MUFON is due to the fact that MUFON has a greater presence than NUFORC does in both of those states.

Below is shown one of the better places to be to see a UFO in the near future (based on sighting reports from the past 30 days from MUFON report data).

MUFON sighting reports in the Kansas City, MO area for the 30 day period from 5/15-6/13.
MUFON sighting reports in the Kansas City, MO area for the 30 day period from 5/15-6/13. | Source

Update Alert...(this just in)

The day after posting the above information, I discovered that NUFORC had just updated their website again on 6/14/12. From that and the MUFON report database information and sightingsreport.com's mapping feature I zeroed in on the dates on and near Sunday 6/10/12 (or a week before things should start to really heat up). What I found is that things are already picking up steam and in an unexpected area of the United States. Below is another map showing sighting concentrations for each state on Saturday and Sunday 6/9 & 6/10/12 using data from both MUFON and NUFORC. Following that is another screenshot of a spreadsheet that includes the breakdown of the states in order of greatest to least concentration of reports (for the recent two day period). One thing that becomes clear is that there is heightened reports in some states, such as South Dakota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan that haven't seen activity like this in quite awhile. Another surprise is the strong showings in both Oregon (moving from 14th to 1st place) and North Carolina (from 22nd to 12th place) and the downward movement of activity in both Texas and California to the bottom of the above average category listings (from 6 & 7th place to 13th & 15th place) and Arizona dropping from above average (4th place) to just average (19th place). Less surprising is the strong showing in the adjoining states of New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, and Kansas (the later a factor due to the recent activity in and around Kansas City in the far eastern part of the state). Interestingly, Missouri, Michigan, and North Carolina all have identical ratings of 420.9 each, so that they are all technically tied for 10th place on the list.

Although this study suffers a bit from a lack of data, it may be a better aid (than the 84 day study done above) for determining just where UFO sightings will best manifest themselves over the course of the next 2-3 weekends. Happy Hunting!


Sighting Concentrations for the Weekend of 6/9-6/10/12 (using MUFON & NUFORC report data).
Sighting Concentrations for the Weekend of 6/9-6/10/12 (using MUFON & NUFORC report data).
UFO Sightings concentrations in the U.S. for the weekend of 6/16-17/2012 (MUFON+NUFORC data).
UFO Sightings concentrations in the U.S. for the weekend of 6/16-17/2012 (MUFON+NUFORC data).
Corrected State Rankings (Nebraska was in error) for filtered UFO reports for 85 days from 3/12-6/4/12 (in order) followed by State Rankings for filtered UFO reports for 6/16-6/17/12.
Corrected State Rankings (Nebraska was in error) for filtered UFO reports for 85 days from 3/12-6/4/12 (in order) followed by State Rankings for filtered UFO reports for 6/16-6/17/12.
Concentrations of UFO reports by state in the U.S. (based on MUFON data only) for 6/22-24/12 (from 75 reports as listed on 6/30/12 at 2am, PDT)
Concentrations of UFO reports by state in the U.S. (based on MUFON data only) for 6/22-24/12 (from 75 reports as listed on 6/30/12 at 2am, PDT)

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  • retrojoe profile image
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    Joseph Ritrovato 4 years ago from Vancouver, WA (nextdoor to Portland, OR)

    UFO Sightings Weather Report Update: I discovered today that NUFORC just posted new reports and I then set out to review UFO activity for the weekend of 6/9-6/10/12 (after realizing that activity on those two days was higher than usual). I've added this new info to the end of my hub and it should further assist anyone who wishes to hunt for UFOs over the course of the next 2-3 weekends.

  • retrojoe profile image
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    Joseph Ritrovato 4 years ago from Vancouver, WA (nextdoor to Portland, OR)

    Latest UFO Sighting Weather Report Info: NUFORC just updated its list of reports as of 6/20/12 and it shows a peak of activity on Saturday 6/16/12. Actually the last three Saturdays have had strong numbers. I still feel that Sunday nights should be at least as good for viewing (the increased numbers on Saturday most likely due to more people being out and about since most don't have to work the next day like they would on Sunday nights). From the NUFORC and MUFON data, here are the top fifteen states based on the reporting numbers (combining figures for 6/16 & 6/17/12 and then comparing that to data for 6/16/12 alone): Nebraska, Oregon, Colorado, Nevada, Washington, California, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Iowa, Kansas, Arkansas, Maine, Georgia, Missouri, and Arizona. Look for continued higher than usual UFO sightings reports in these states in the next few weekends (especially the next two). As things progress, Sunday should be increasingly better than Saturday for viewing (based on the most important of the three UFO day cycles).

  • retrojoe profile image
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    Joseph Ritrovato 4 years ago from Vancouver, WA (nextdoor to Portland, OR)

    Latest UFO Sightings Concentration Update for U.S. for weekend of 6/22-24/12: There were 9 more reports that came in for the weekend studied over the last 2.5 days. Based on the new tally, I've updated the concentration map as shown at the bottom of my UFO Sightings Weather Report hub. The new list of top states for sightings with their corresponding rating compared to the statistical average per state (of a value based on sightings and population density) are as follows: Nevada (5.4Xs Avg) and Oregon (5.0Xs Avg) at the very top followed by New Mexico, Iowa, Arizona, and Idaho (3.9 to 3.5Xs Avg), and then California, Utah, Washington, West Virginia, and Ohio (2.5Xs to 1.6Xs Avg; Utah & Washington were tied for 8th place). Average states were Illinois, Pennsylvania, Texas, Colorado, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Michigan, Indiana, Mississippi, Minnesota, New York, Missouri, Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Florida. To get another view of report concentrations you can go to the following link and click on "map options" in the upper left corner of the map and set it to display for the dates of 6/22 to 6/24: http://www.ufostalker.com/?mufon=true (tonight or Saturday 6/30 should be a good night to hunt for UFOs so, if you are in one of the top states listed above then you may want to view the skies between 9pm to 11pm).

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