UFO Window Report - WARNING: No New Age Angle (Just a Hard Look at the Data)

My first web page was created In 1997. Two articles of mine were published before that in the MUFON UFO Journal (in March of 1995 and June of 1996). I had written another article related to UFO crashes inspired by the 50th anniversary of the Roswell crash, but ironically it was about almost every crash except the Roswell event. The reason for that was twofold. First, since Roswell was the best known case, all other evidence of crashed unknown aerial vehicles often got pushed aside or ignored by people interested in UFOs and I wanted to expose my readers to the other information. Second, I wanted to collect as many valid looking accounts as I could to try to see if there was a time cycle related to such occurrences.

From my research I discovered a 3.19 year cycle that happens to be peaking in less than two weeks (but its effects would last approximately 5 months before and after that). The cycle doesn't just relate to UFO crashes, but to moderate waves of UFO activity. See the graphic to the right that demonstrates the concentration of crashed UFOs that fall within the 1/4 portion of the cycle at peak time.

Another article I posted at the time was one attempting to pin down UFO cycles measured in days. That one was inspired by the late great writer and UFO researcher John Keel. He had proposed a seven day cycle that peaked on Wednesday. I was convinced that there was a daily cycle, but not that it always peaked on Wednesday.

Unfortunately my attempts to isolate the cycle(s) was less than satisfactory. However, I have revisited the subject and am now convinced that I have discovered a cycle measured in days that explains what Mr. Keel had witnessed back in 1966 and 1967 when there were peaks of sightings in March of those years. He had noticed that there were 20% more sightings on Wednesdays during those months when compared to the average of the other days of the week. If he had access to the *U* UFO Database however he might have found that the cycle actually advances by about 1 day every 50 days or 7.34 days each year. What that results in is, during a given month, the UFO peak sightings day (on average), falls one day later each year (but it can occur the day before or after the estimated date). Looking at the screen captures below from that database program, you can see how there was a peak centered on Tuesday/Wednesday for March 1966 and Wednesday/Thursday for March 1967.

I now foresee that, based on patterns of UFO activity that relate to the solar cycle (see illustration below) that, like what happened in 1967 and 1968 when we were in a similar sunspot cycle, 2012 and 2013 could have similar results. Because of the 3.19 year crash cycle that peaked in January 2012, the next few months may see a more concentrated increase that could be even more significant than the one back in March of 1967.

Another major UFO cycle is the 5+ year cycle (often referred to as simply a five year cycle or five year and one month or 61 month cycle), but by my estimate it is more like 63 months in length. I am inclined to believe that that cycle peaked at the dividing line between 2010 and 2011. Its effects however lasted 8 months before and after that and interestingly, the National UFO Reporting Center (NUFORC) in Washington State (directed by Peter Davenport) had significantly more UFO sightings in the summers before and after that peak. Most particularly they showed an increase in July of 2010 when their was an all time record of 820 reports. And striking is the fact that between 20-25% of the sightings all took place on the 4th of July. Since more people are outside on such days an increase is not too surprising, but one that big is truly unprecedented (with the possible exceptions of July 6th & 7th of 1947 and November 5th & 6th of 1957).

What makes this all even more fascinating to me is that July 4, 2010 also happened to be centered on a peak UFO sightings day for that month and year. In late January 2012, the peak day falls on Thursday/Friday. In March, usually one of the biggest months for sightings in the first half of the year, the peak day will be Friday (leaning towards Friday/Saturday. Also in early March is the closest approach of Mars to the earth (which happens about every 776 days) and usually also signifies increased UFO activity. In March of next year (2013), when the sun should be at its peak of sunspot output, the UFO sightings peak day will be on Saturday/Sunday.

Besides the cycle measured in days mentioned above, I have just roughly determined a second prominent one measured in days that is estimated to peak on Saturday at present. That cycle advances just one day every 2.43 years. The weekly value is much closer to a regular week of seven days (compared to the other cycle). As a result, rather than advancing a day every 50 days like the other one, it remains pretty much locked onto the same day of the week for more like one year before noticeably starting to shift to the next day. Interestingly, both daily cycles are expected to peak together on Sunday, June 17, 2012. Based on recent UFO activity during the past two years, the peak of this new cycle may presently be in advance by as much as one day of my estimate or Sunday instead of Saturday (I now feel that this cycle is presently peaking on Saturday/Sundays).

One final note relates again to NUFORC. The director of the web site, Peter Davenport, recently shared on their website that normally just ten UFO reports are received in a day, but that lately they had been collecting much more than usual. In fact, they received 50 reports on 12/31/2011 and 60 reports on 1/1/2012! Chris Rutkowski (click for his blog page), a leading UFO researcher from Winnipeg, Manitoba also noted a significantly exceptional start to the New Year in regards to UFO sightings. Since it appears that UFO sightings are on the increase one should try to view the sky more than one usually would. Unfortunately this is not the ideal time of year to do so (one of the reasons why there is a seasonal dip in reports this time of year). However, during waves of activity there are also more of the usually rarer daylight sightings, so you do not necessarily have to wait for it to be 9pm or later to ideally see a UFO for the next few months. Best of luck to any UFO hunters out there who may be reading this.

For another hub that relates to the 3.19 year cycle mentioned above (the first picture shown in this hub also relates to it) check out my A Repeating Pattern to UFO Crashes.