NFL Picks. Week 10, 2015.
Okay, after a rough week, I'm back on track.
Let's get it!
Bills vs. Jets- Bills.
The Jets barely held off the Jaguars while the Bills destroyed the Dolphins.
For me, these two teams are neck and neck.
Sure, for a while, they both looked like playoff contenders, but teams like the New England Patriots have determined... that was a lie.
The Bills are doing something that the New York Jets are not.
Last week, Tyrod, McCoy, and Watkins all made plays for the Bills, and while this game won't draw a huge audience, it ought to be interesting.
Lions vs. Packers- Packers.
Well, I guess we can say with absolute certainty that the Green Bay Packers are not for real.
Back to back weeks, they went on the road, and Aaron Rodgers was exposed.
Hey, for everyone who said that Jordy Nelson was a system player...
Who needed who?
In any event, they're back in good ol' Green Bay, way the cheese runs freely and the leaps are lambeau.
That and the Lions just aren't good.
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers- Cowboys.
I can't imagine a situation where Jameis Winston and that Tampa Bay offense plays well against this Dallas pass rush.
I just feel like it's a recipe for disaster.
Plus there are rumors that Tony Romo might be coming back in a couple weeks, and with that rushing attack and healthy Dez Bryant, they should be able to score enough points.
Panthers vs. Titans- Panthers.
Ah yes, finally, the team that's going to beat the Carolina Panthers, the Tennessee Titans.
In a battle of overrated scramblers, Mariota will ascend to Canton and create a Hall of Fame bust with the dust he leave Kuechly and the Panthers defense in!
Obviously, I'm kidding.
They can't generate enough offense to win, and I don't think the Panthers will struggle enough to lose the game.
Bears vs. Rams- Rams.
Lots o' Gurley.
Lots o' Cutler.
Works well for one team.
Not so much for the other...
The Bears are done.
If they were ever anything else to begin with, I can't justify picking them over the Rams.
Saints vs. Redskins- Saints.
First of all, how funny is that meme?
I mean, honestly...
Look, the Redskins didn't lose as badly as I thought they were going to last week.
They managed to slow down the New England attack.
And this Saints team... Hell, they just got beat by the Titans at home!
Maybe... IN Washington, against what is a sorry, sorry defense...
I just can't do it.
I just don't trust the Redskins enough.
Dolphins vs. Eagles- Eagles.
The Eagles aren't great.
They're not even good.
But they're good enough to beat Miami.
Miami got the temporary rub from the new coach, but against the Bills, it was obvious that it had worn off.
If I have to take one, I think I have to take the Eagles.
Browns vs. Steelers- Steelers.
What's worse than a Steelers team without Le'Veon Bell or Ben Roethlisberger?
Any team starting Johnny Manziel.
Seriously, nothing says "tanking" quite like saying, "Meh, we'll see what the kid can do".
All week, I've heard about how "good" Manziel looked against Cincy...
15/33 for 168 and a TD?
Let me throw out a few other numbers.
24/40 for 381 and 2 TDs.
24/44 for 301 and 4 TDs.
That's what fellow draftmates Blake Bortles and Derek Carr threw last week.
Give me a break.
Jaguars vs. Ravens- Jaguars.
"Well, the Ravens are gonna win the next 10 games and make the playoffs"
No they are not.
They managed to beat the Steelers with Michael Vick under center and 5 thousand missed field goals.
And that sneaky win over San Diego?
After they lost 12 players to injury?
That's why I'm calling the trap game.
The Ravens have nothing on offense for Joe Flacco.
Seriously, I feel for the poor guy.
But... he doesn't help himself.
He still throws off of his back foot, he still misses wide-open reads, and his pocket awareness still leaves a lot to be desired.
And on defense?
That's a lot of money wasted on poor defensive backs.
Look. It's time we talked about Jacksonville.
They're not a good team.
But Blake Bortles... Might be better than we thought he was.
He plays a lot like a young Philip Rivers.
Statistically, he's been hanging with some of the better QBs... That's shocking, even to me.
I think that he'll be able to exploit a lazy secondary and pull of a surprise win on the road.
Prove me wrong, Baltimore.
Prove everyone wrong.
Vikings vs. Raiders- RAIDERS.
Before I explain why we're going to lose, can I just say something?
DEREK CARR IS THAT DUDE.
"BAH GAWD KING, ITS DC, DC!"
The kid went off last week!
And no doubt he'll go off again this week, reminding Minnesota that they drafted the wrong guy.
Look, I don't think it really matters which QB is under center for the Vikings.
Last week, the Steelers exploited what had been a vaunted Raiders defense...
You know what?
YOU KNOW WHAT?
I'm taking the Raiders.
I'M TAKING THE RAIDERS.
TURN IT AROUND.
Nate Allen and T.J. Carrie come back for Oakland, they'll be in the Black Hole, and I think they'll be motivated after they blew a huge game.
Patriots vs. Giants- Patriots.
Look, Drew Brees and the Saints threw 7 touchdowns against this defense.
You think Tom Brady will hesitate to tear this team apart, especially with Denver falling from the ranks of the unbeaten?
Chiefs vs. Broncos- Broncos.
So much for the unbeatable Broncos!
Good ol' Andy Luck, he sure knows how to beat Peyton Manning.
Look... I hesitate to put any faith in the Kansas City Chiefs.
Without Charles, their vanilla offense is just inadequate.
Seriously, how hard is it to just feed Travis Kelce the ball?
In any event, the Broncos defense will eat Alex Smith alive and the AFC West race becomes even more narrow.
Cardinals vs. Seahawks- Seahawks.
PICKS PICKING PICKS RULE NUMERO UNO.
I don't care if they have offensive line struggles, I don't care if the run game isn't the same, I DON'T EVEN CARE IF THE SECONDARY IS FALLING OFF, the Cardinals are an overrated team and they struggle against good teams.
You put a quarterback like Carson Palmer under pressure on primetime in a loud stadium and bad things happen.
Believe me, I remember.
Texans vs. Bengals- Bengals.
The Texans are so bad that their quarterbacks don't even show up to the games.
Okay, so they miss their flights and get cut and disappear from relevance like the rest of ex-Patriot players, but still, you get my point.
Against a well rested Bengals team that's looking to lock up the division, if not homefield advantage, I don't see how the Texans can make this game interesting.
And this bums me out.
Because I was hoping there would be an interesting Monday Night Football game so I wouldn't have to be reminded that Seth Rollins is out for nine months.
Fleegle's Picks: Best In The World Challenge.
3-0 head to head against Ryan last week! The comeback is on.....I think!
Buffalo @ New York Jets: The return of Rex to New York! The Bills, as the Jets, are a complete crapshoot. You never know what to get with either one of them. But, the Jets haven't been the same team since they blew that game against the Pats. So, I think I'll take Rex and the Bills in his return to New York.
Detroit @ Green Bay: Perfect game for the Packers after how they;ve played the last two weeks. Give me Rodgers and Green Bay for a bounceback win.
Dallas @ Tampa Bay: I think the Cowboys are a better team. I really do. But.....they're 0-6 without Romo. That's just a fact. Tampa, I think, is starting to get better as a team. But.....I just can't pick Jameis yet. Cowboys desperately need a win, and I think they get it this week. 1-6 without Romo is bad, but he's coming back next week, and frankly I think the division is still open enough for the taking. But for this week, Cowboys win.
Carolina @ Tennessee: Panthers are still undefeated, and looking good. Titans managed to beat a Saints team last week that I thought was improving. I think this is a potential trap game for Carolina, but, I think they'll find a way to win. Panthers get to 9-0.
Chicago @ St. Louis: Rams are a much better team at home. Bears got a win with a 4th quarter comeback on the road Monday night. So, what gives in this matchup? Rams win at home. Gurley. Gurley. Gurley. Gurley again.
New Orleans @ Washington: Still can't believe the Saints found a way to lose that game last week. And Washington ran into the buzzsaw that is New England. I think the Saints find a way to get another road win this week. Brees>Cousins.
MiamI @ Philadelphia: Ahhhh yes, the shine has worn off the Dolphins after that 2 week renaissance with a new coach, hasn't it? And while the Cowboys obviously aren't the same right now, that was a big win for Philly last week IN Dallas. I think it continues for the Eagles this week. Give me Philly at home.
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh: The battle of the backups! Manziel vs. Jones! So compelling of a game! No? It's not? Oh. Well, this game might be the ugliest of the week. I'll take the Steelers at home, I guess.
Jacksonville @ Baltimore: The Ravens, off a bye, BETTER win this week against the fricken Jaguars. That's all I have to say. Ravens win.
Minnesota @ Oakland: The Raiders were greatly impressive last week in a narrow loss to the Steelers (although, COVER ANTONIO BROWN!!!). And Minesota, good win for them, bad headache for Teddy Bridgewater. Raiders are at home, Raiders keep rolling, and win.
New England @ New York Giants: If there was a game the Patriots could lose, this could be the one, having to go to New York. But, of course they won't lose it. Patriots win, because that's what they do this year.
Kansas City @ Denver: This game could go either way, but I'll go with Peyton and the Broncos at home. They're gonna be in a baaaaad mood after losing to the Colts last week.
Arizona @ Seattle: A GREAT Sunday Night game coming up! Arizona is in my mind the better team, but Seattle, you talk about a home field advantage. They have it. BUT.....BUT.....Arizona did just that not so long ago. And you know what? They do it again this week! Cardinals win in Seattle. That's right, I'm picking the Cardinals in a big game. Stop the presses!
Houston @ Cincinnati: You know, with all the money ESPN pays for the Monday Night games, you would think that they would get better matchups. Yet, the last 2-3 years, they haven't. Cincy is undefeated, Houston is a mess. There you have it. Bengals win.
3-0 for me last week, looking for more this week!
@McFleegle (13-19) vs @Brodhisattva (19-13)
I'm in trouble now! One big week is all it takes.
Only two disagreements this week, and I'm not very confident with either of our disagreements.
I picked the Jaguars while he picked the Ravens.
I picked the Seahawks while he picked the Cardinals.