Now That Iowa Is Over, Who's Going to Take the GOP Nomination?

1. 90

   Rock_njposted 12 years ago

   Iowa did not clarify the GOP nomination at all, except for perhaps it indicates that Romney will ultimately win the GOP nomination.  Romney will be 2 for 2 after New Hampshire next Tuesday.  After that, who knows?  Romney will be going into states in the south where he is far behind.  With Gingrich fading, can anyone put together enough primary wins to stop Romney?  Just interested in Hubbers take.

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      JamesPoppellposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Remember when Mike Huckabee took Iowa last year, only to bow out later because John Mccain got the GOP nod? Well, it just goes to show you that Iowa doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things. I personally think Obama would eat Gingrich's lunch for him in a debate. Gingrich has too many contradictions. He is a genius, I will give him that, but he is also a double talker.  Romney seems to be the only one that can win a debate against Obama.

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      MelissaVsWorldposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      With Santorum being one of the three to walk away with a "win" in Iowa, the competition is between Romney and Paul.  Seeing as how RP has more supporters nationwide, it will simply be a matter of getting all of those voters to the polls on Voting Day.  RP is the only candidate that wants to return our freedom and government to the people.  He is for a limited government and our Constitution.

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   Cassie Smithposted 12 years ago

   I think it's too soon to tell.

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3. 61

   Evan G Rogersposted 12 years ago

   Iowa isnt' over.
   
   It's a caucus, not a Primary.
   
   Caucuses last for a LO~~ONG time; the voting is nothing more than a straw poll; and is a much more republican system than the primary.
   
   Ron Paul has a STRONG chance to win Iowa.
   
   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HawiHvxloms
   
   I don't think any of Santorum's fans stuck around to be delegates because he really wasn't as popular as the voting showed. He went from ~9% popularity to ~25% popularity in 3 days? Give me a break. This is why Caucuses and republican government exist: to keep out the riff-raff.
   
   http://www.businessinsider.com/ron-paul … egy-201201
   
   NH is a Primary state, and so the threat of "Santorum's completely random and unexplained surge in numbers" is real. However, the numbers show it will probably be Romney and Paul, with a chance of Gingrich.

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   1. 90

      Rock_njposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Even the New Hampshire primary seems insignificant this year.  Romney should take it by a mile, or else he's in trouble.  The real test will be all the primaries on Super Tuesday.  I'm not so sure that it is setting up to be a good day for Romney given the polling in the Super Tuesday states.

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      1. 61

         Evan G Rogersposted 12 years agoin reply to this

         Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Santorum are tied for first with 7 delegates each
         
         http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/ia

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4. 61

   Cassie Smithposted 12 years ago

   I do think that Bachmann will pull out though.  She is originally from Iowa and if her home state didn't giver her the votes to pull ahead, there's no hope of her winning anything.  I think it was a good try for her though.  Maybe in another four years.

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5. 61

   Cassie Smithposted 12 years ago

   It was announced that Bachmann pulled out of the race!  That was quick but a good decision on her part.  I think she should continue a political career and try again in four years.

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   1. 90

      Rock_njposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      Bachmann is gone.  This is going to hurt Romney's chances IMO.  Bachmann are not likely to become Romney supporters.  They will be looking at more conservative GOP candidates, perhaps Santorum and Paul will benefit. 
      
      If there was one conservative that was strong in the pack of GOPers, I think they could take the nomination with wins in southern and western states.  Does anyone think one candidate will emerge as the contender with Romney?

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      Evan G Rogersposted 12 years agoin reply to this

      everyone knew she didn't have a chance.
      
      we all know that Santorum doesn't either.

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      1. 66

         Michele Travisposted 12 years agoin reply to this

         I really want Gingrich to pull out,  I really really really want him to pull our or be thown out or something like that

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         1. 61

            Evan G Rogersposted 12 years agoin reply to this

            He'll ditch after another 4-5th place finish in the SC and NH primaries.

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            1. 90

               Rock_njposted 12 years agoin reply to this

               Gingrich probably won't do well in New Hampshire.  But in SC and FL, which are up next on the primary calendar, he will probably benefit from being from the south.  He is polling well in both states.  If he wins those primaries back to back, and does well in CO and AZ (MI will go for Romney due to name recognition of his family in that state), the Gingrich will be set to have a good chance of Super Tuesday.

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6. 70

   Alecia Murphyposted 12 years ago

   I still think Romney, just because he has the most mainstream appeal as well as him always ending up in the top 3 but it could swing another way at random. To me Paul and Santorum have just become the 2 and 3 of the moment because not long ago it was Cain and Gingrich. This is alot like '04 dems, I think it's just a hot or not thing so it'll be summer until we really know what could happen.

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