Any opinions about Gingrich's chances in South Carolina now that Perry is gone are welcome.
Perry was never a factor in Newt's chances. The only thing holding back Newt is all the baggage he has. He is oblivious to many of the things that he has done that is contrary to Tea Party passions. What he has done that is contrary to how normal people act in their professional and personal lives. Sad too, because he does have a very sharp mind. Just greedy and let's his little head think for him at unfortunate times.
Gingrich is his own worst enemy. Smart but undisciplined. It would help if he would smile occassionally. Seeing him frown on stage just makes him look doltish, when he's not a dolt.
He's an extreme partisan, and we don't need any more partisanship than we already have. Romney's record in Massachusetts and in the Mormon church is that he's willing to listen and compromise when that makes sense. Gingrich was the one who refused a reasonable deal with Clinton and shut the federal government down.
I doubt that Romney can beat Obama and a right-wing social conservative like Santorum wouldn't have a ghost of a chance if he got the nomination. Same for Ron Paul.
The polling I saw today shows that Gingrich is close to catching Romney in South Carolina. With Perry out and the momo going his way, he may just beat Romney on Saturday.
He is way too decisive and partisan. Even if Newt won the GOP nod, I doubt he could beat President Obama. The employment numbers are getting better, and if they continue to improve, Obama's chances of reelection will improve. A hard right candidate like Gingrich will throw swing states Obama's way.
Sorry Evan, Gingrich can beat Obama
But to the question, It will not make a difference. The few followers Perry had will probably split between the other 3 candidates.
Actually, the only two that can beat Obama right now are Paul and Romney - both are tied with Obama in many national polls.
Basically the pollsters do this: "If the election were held today and it were between [Republican Candidate] and Obama, who would you vote for?"
MR:BO = 48:46
RP:BO = 46:48
There's a 3% sampling error, so both are tied for Obama.
The rest of the R's are in the 30s or lower.
If one hangs his hat on polls, Hillary would have been the Nominee in 2008 , not Obama.
People are not going to fall for the schmoozy hype from Obama this time out. He will have his supporters that will go down with the ship, all candidates have them, People can see passed false numbers such as unemployment.
Many Obama supporters have told me and many others that "If Ron Paul is the candidate, I'm voting for him over Obama. If not, I'm voting for the O."
Ron Paul will not only capture the Republican vote, not only will Paul capture the independent vote, but he'll actually steal votes away from Obama.
It's Paul or Obama.
Nobody is jumping from Obama to Newt Gingrich. Some would jump from Obama to Mitt Romney. A lot more would jump from Obama to Ron Paul. Of course, I don't think Ron Paul would get the same support from the GOP as Romney or Gingrich, so maybe it's a wash.
Gingrich can absolutely win South Carolina, thanks in large part to Romney performing poorly in the last debate and the fact that Mitt has failed to convince the American people that he's actually a human being. He seems to me like a robot dressed like a stereotype of an overgrown trust fund baby. He doesn't even understand the concept of what an average American's life is like. He'll bet you $10,000 that he does know what it's like, but he'll also bet you $10,000 that the sun doesn't come up tomorrow, just because he likes the action and the money means absolutely nothing to him.
Even if he wins SC, Gingrich has zero chance of being our next president. The candidates have saved up a lot of ammo to use against him just in case he surges to the front. The claims of his ex-wife might be slightly damaging, but that's nothing compared to all the other terrible things that can be said about Gingrich. Remember, this is a man who was forced out of the House of Representatives by members of his own party and he was fined $300,000 for ethics violations (by a 395-28 vote) after they realized what a crooked scoundrel he was -- and that was just a couple years after he was praised as the leader of the GOP.
Thanks to his philandering, Gingrich can expect zero support from female vote except for the one he's married to and maybe half a dozen of his current mistresses. The next few months for Newt will be absolutely brutal. He's like a man who has completely forgotten his sordid past and just assumed we all did the same. That's not the way things work in politics, as he'll soon find out.
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