Will the Republican Party, as we know it today, go the way of the Federalist Party of old?
The Federalist Party self-destructed in the early 1800s by holding untenable positions, supporting Britain over France, industrialist over the farmer, rich over the commoner and being an exclusive party, driving all those who disagreed with it out of its ranks. Jefferson, the head of the Democratic-Republican Party broadened the ideological base to accept the disaffected Federalists. Personally, I see the Conservatives doing the same thing over social issues, do you?
No I don't think so. We are likely see a return of the "Moderate Republican" whose primary focus will be on improving the economy and keeping our shores safe.
Preaching to the choir about social issues especially those that are intended to limit individual freedom or equality are not going to lead to very many national election victories.
It's been reported that 85% of youth (our future) support "marriage equality". You don't need a crystal ball to know that a country which espouses (separation of church and state) is not going to allow religious beliefs to dictate what people do in their private lives. Marriage equality is now viewed as a "civil rights" issue.
Immigration reform with a path to citizenship is coming. Republicans lost 72% of the Latino vote to Democrats in the last presidential election.
Planned Parenthood and Pro-choice are here to stay. Any attacks against them is seen as an attack on women or efforts to control their bodies.
Odds are when more phases of The Affordable Healthcare Act aka Obamacare become a part of the norm... repealing it would be similar to trying to get rid of social security and Medicaid. They are both sacred cows!
Any party that alienates the youth vote, minority vote, senior vote, and women's vote is not going win a lot of national elections.
Having said that it would not be the first time a political party re-invented itself. Remember it was the Republican party that pushed for abolishing slavery. Over 80% of Republicans in congress voted to pass the Civil Rights Act of 1964 during a period where Southern Democrats were aligned with the KKK.
Absolutely right on the second Republican Party; the first became the Southern Democrats you mentioned, as did the fourth (current one). The third was from around 1900 to 2004.
This southern democrat conversion to republican is a myth in terms of political affiliation. There is one man that switched parties. (Strom Thurman). Ike's civil rights bill in 57 was opposed by nearly all (quite liberal)democrats North and South.
Funny, I see the Democratic party doing the same thing over fiscal issues. The ever expanding unsustainable size of gov't and social entitlements is ultimately destructive. However, I could point the finger at both parties on the front. The Republicans spend too much and the Democrats want to spend even more.
In terms of the social issues, the Democrats have a problem with birth rates when you look at the states from a political perspective. Obviously you can't assume that a child born into a Democrat or Republican leaning family with always follow in their parents footsteps. However, the values one is raised with more often than not due have an effect on the way in which they choose to live their life. As such, social Conservative from places like the "bible belt" are reproducing much faster than the Democrats from places like the upper west side of Manhattan. In general, families that are socially conservative are less likely to have an abortion or in some cases even use contraceptives. There birth rate is much higher. That will likely effect the demographics from a political perspective in the future. Which goes along way towards explaining why Washington insiders are so adamant about not securing our borders. They need to import enough poverty to offset the average middle class American who is not so bent on an oversized gov't, and replace them with someone they can immediately place on social assistance the second they enter the country. What better way is there to buy a vote. We now have website's like the one below that encourage new immigrants to get on welfare when they get here. We went from the land of opportunity... to the land of let the other guy pay for it. But politically speaking, it's an excellent strategy to offset the issue of birthrates among liberal thinkers.
http://www.welcometousa.gov/Government_ … efault.htm
Will the Republican party devour itself into nonexistence? One can only hope!
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