Do you contend that in 2016 that Americans will put a Republican president in office? Why? Why not?
no. american voters don't put anyone in office. both parties serve for the needs of big business not the people. someone will be president though. And they know who it is already.
Unless there is a major catastrophe within the next two years my prediction is a Democrat will be elected president.
The Democrat candidates will point to all the key economic indicators comparing now to how things were when Obama took office in 2009. Unemployment was almost at 10% , foreclosures were at record highs, the stock market plummeted to the point where GM stock was at $1.50, millions of people had no access to healthcare due to pre-existing conditions, or their children were too old to be able to be kept on their parent's insurance, Bin Laden was still walking around free.
They will then point out that unemployment is down to 6.1%, home values are starting to climb, the stock market is at an all time high, millions of people now have health insurance who didn't before, oil prices are down, Bin Laden is dead, and the two wars fought for over a decade are coming to a close. Social security and Medicare have been protected as is, and the projected deficit is down.
They'll also go on to site they want to continue to push for immigration reform, raise the minimum wage, and provide corporate incentives to hire more Americans, revamp student loan payments, and boost the "middleclass". "There's still work to do!"
The Republican party is less unified. There is the extremely conservative "Tea Party" Republicans and the "Moderate Republicans". Any Tea Party candidate such as Ted Cruz will have a difficult time winning in the general election. The perception is they want to "blow up Washington's traditional way of doing business."
Most "Independents", Moderate Republicans, and Conservative Democrats consider them too extreme. People will be reminded of the Republican attempts at "Government shutdown", not extending unemployment, or refusing to raise debt ceiling which lowered the U.S. credit rating.
Republicans will promise to "do away" with everything Obama has put in place. They will seek to repeal Obamacare, cut "entitlement programs", cut corporate taxes, open the Keystone pipeline, deregulate wherever possible, revamp Social Security and Medicare programs, balance the budget, keep the minimum wage where it is, eliminate the path to citizenship for millions of illegal aliens, defund Planned Parenthood, change or eliminate abortion laws,strengthen our borders, and be tougher with our enemies around the world.
People vote their pocketbook. The candidate promising the most "goodies" will win unless there is a national disaster.
My prediction is the Democrats will win again 2016.
Democrats will probably win unless like Dashingscorpion said: "less there is a major catastrophe within the next two years". The reason for that is that the Republican party seems to want to join the dinosaurs.
The Republican party is just out of time with their ideas on abortion, gay rights, religious freedom, etc. You don't hear of Democrats burning religious texts and most are anti-war too - it's what the majority of people want: peace, freedom and a progressive way to look forward.
So, with no decent candidates and often an attitude taken from the Puritan late 1800s the Republicans more or less dug their own hole. The Democrats must be so happy, once again.
My question is: when is this fake two party system going to be deemed useless? Or are Americans fine switching from the Bush dynasty to the Clinton dynasty on and on, with an odd president like Obama here and there just so we give the Bush and Clinton names a break?
No current Republican could ever beat the Democrat in a 2016 presidential campaign. Democrats are simply too good at debate and campaigning. They know what the majority of poor and middle class want and they imply it (as oppose to openly discussing or promising anything). Next to that, the Republican politicians look like raving lunatics when their feet are held to the fire in a debate. Out of the 53% or so Americans who think it's worth voting and actually vote, about a third of them will always vote Democrat and a third will always vote Republican. So each party is trying to win over 51% of one-third of 53% of the American electorate--or about 9% to 10% of the nation's eligible voters. These 10% undecided who will win the election for someone invariably vote for whomever looks best in a debate and whomever the news networks do not pummel as hard. It's not exactly a fool-proof system for electing leaders and is probably even a little Orwellian. No Republican has fairly won a presidential election since 1988.
Well I would have to agree with muse ivory that we do not elect anyone. As he stated big business runs the election anyway but judging by the swing of the things I think the next President will be Republican but only for one term. I think that since the last Congressional race where the Republicans won both House and Senate a Republican president will win so they can pass through something about drilling or fracking. I think that that will be a real possibility as long as the Republicans get the right candidate.
The simple math doesn't allow for a republican president to be elected in the foreseeable future.the voter pool for the GOP is so much smaller than the democrat that they can not win a presidential election.They will however remain competitive in the house, although the senate will probably go the same way as the white house.
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