ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 2-5, 2019. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
"Would you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?"
"Would you support or oppose requiring background checks on all potential gun buyers, including private sales and gun shows?"
"Would you support or oppose a nationwide ban on high capacity ammunition clips, meaning those containing more than 10 bullets?"
"Would you support or oppose a law allowing the police to take guns away from people who have been found by a judge to be a danger to themselves or others?"
"Would you support or oppose a mandatory buy back program in which the federal government would require assault weapon owners to turn in those weapons in exchange for payment?"
"Who do you trust more to handle gun laws in this country: Trump or the Democrats in Congress?"
Democrats in Congress 51%
It is polls like this that make one wonder about the American citizen. Over half of our people would attack "assault weapons" as the first step in controlling the death toll in our country.
And they will do so not knowing, or caring, that of the 6 most common weapons used in murders, the rifle is used the least; the rifle, which includes the smaller subset of "assault weapon" we're so afraid of.
Of the 12,253 homicides in 2013, the top choice of weapons were:
knives/cutting instruments 1490
Personal (hands/feet) 687
blunt instrument (club, hammer) 428
rifles (including assault weapons) 285
So our educated, intelligent citizen chooses the least common tool to attack, and only a subset of that category at that. He does this because he has been trained to think that the "assault weapon" he is so afraid of is a military gun, used by the military to assault fortified enemy positions. He is ignorant of the fact that the difference between a common hunting rifle and an "assault weapon" as defined by law is a folding stock, a light tin shield around the barrel, a pistol grip or some black paint. And he doesn't want to know either - the years of advertising has convinced him is all he needs to attack the most common gun owned in the US as the most dangerous though it is at the very bottom of the 6 most deadly weapons used in murders in our country.
We're smart enough to know that addressing mass shootings requires different measures than addressing other gun violence.
Ah. If you take the preferred tool from a murderer it is different than taking the preferred tool from a murderer. And you know this because world wide experience says that taking guns from murderers does not significantly affect the murder rate.
Good thinking; it's right up there along with being scared of a specific gun because it is black and carries a scary label designed to arouse fright.
Its a Poll of 1,000 people... chosen by ABC/WP...
Its not worth the time to consider.
1003 folks...curious as to their locations and political and social standings.
Not sure that I would consider a poll of 1003 people accurately represents the American opinion.
Professional pollsters do their best to include a cross section of people from various locations and political affiliations.
It's why most polls these days have a high degree of accuracy and report similar results on similar questions. They also include a margin of error just in case.
The results from this poll come close to other recent polls on the same issues.
"Professional" is the key word...another would be an "unbiased"
But, we all know how that works...
President must be so unprofessional, hardly and good guild books to follow. That is why they are dominated by lawyers, not the constitution.
Please prove otherwise. I have worked with professional pollsters many times during my career at both conservative and liberal media companies. None of them ever acted any less than professional.
I find that Trump supports consistently attack polls that don't give favorable numbers for Trump.
If it's not what they want to hear, the poll has no credibility.
In my professional lifestyle as a reknown builder/sculptor for 45 years. I met 100s of politicians and two US President. It is not professional to give out delusional freedom and human rights and not reach 25% of their promises. Only a clergyman can talks more BS, I don't need both of them in my world, not true professional public servants in my books. They can be on local scale.
I don't trust any poll to be honest...unless I can see the questions and parties who responded...the goal of the poll... which questions were or were not answered.
I don't care which party or person.
I have conducted more than a few polls (or studies) in my time and I managed to get the results I wanted to show, by careful wording of my questions and by limited choices to keep results in the range I wanted. And I was very professional in how I conducted my "polls" and covered a range of demographics...but I was still able to bias it because of how I set it up to begin with.
But...unlike many...I don't base my opinions on my emotions...
I'm sorry, but I don't see how you can say you biased your polls on purpose and then say they were professional polls.
More importantly, the Clinton-Trump polls were accurate and consistent with each other. If they were biased, they all would have had different results.
That makes them professional.
I'll give you an example...
Which of these persons do you consider to be a great leader?
3. Jong Un
By asking this question and then limiting your answers...I have created a professional poll that is biased in nature..
Now, it I was to take the answers and say that of these choices, answer 1. was considered by xx% to be the better leader...then I am showing my information, my method and the findings...
But if I just state that xx% of those polled consider Hitler to be a great leader, then I am presenting biased and partly factual information, because I limited the choices and then didn't present the choices offered that the determination was made from.
This happens quite often...I have seen similar type polls on various websites...i.e.
Who do you feel will be elected President in 2020
and then once the poll is closed, make the claim that choice "a, b, c, or d" is showing a xx% favorability for election over "the other side"(no %) to POTUS among voters polled.
Hitler was considered a great leader to many Germans who suffered during the Depression. They maintained that Hitler pulled Germany out of the Depression & created order which included improving the economy. Many Italians felt the same way about Mussolini. There are North Koreans who consider Jong Un a great leader. However, history proved that such leaders ruled by fear & intimidation-marginalizing those who disagreed with their particular regime. Furthermore, history furthermore confirmed that Hitler wasn't a leader but a demonic tyrant. Mussolini was considered to be an egomaniac. Jong Un is a tyrant.
I surmise that Warren will be elected President in 2020. Biden is seen as unstable. Sanders is too far left & revolutionary. Wang? Well, who is Wang exactly!
I think you missed the point..
Although, what you have written in response is pretty spot on about the examples that I did use for this discussion on polls and how to have a professional poll and still be biased...
Warren may win the democratic nomination, I am not sure about her winning the election though...
Wang is starting to gain a large following online...called the #wanggang...If he don't win the nomination, he may run as an independent or maybe one of the other parties...
Pew did three pages of analysis of Trump's approval rating. The fourth page had their methodology:
"The analysis in this report is based on telephone interviews conducted January 9-14, 2019 among a national sample of 1,505"
Clearly these "Pew Research" people are complete amateurs!
https://www.people-press.org/2019/01/18 … ology-214/
Still doesn't mean that it accurately depicts all of the US.
1003 folks is what....0.000003% of the population?
If you get everyone to vote on anything. You would have people power not Government over control.
What it does is give you a hint that if an organization that has spent decades researching different methods for conducting political polls uses a similar sized sample, perhaps there is more to this than meets the eye.
As an enterprising person with an inquiring mind, naturally you would then do some research (I know, I'm hopelessly optimistic) which, in short order, would lead you to the concept of "random sampling" and "weighting", both of which can ensure that a poll of 1003 adults accurately depicts the opinions of the nation as a whole.
After all that, if you still don’t think random sampling works, make sure you ask your doctor to take all your blood next time you need a blood test.
The magic number 80 % of the pubic support changes law for the positive like in the 80% background checks and gun taking away from offenders.
From my study of American and world history this is true number 80%, that changes collective conscious for people power. About 80% it is where medical marijuana and tiny houses were changed, I bet my life on it.
I support gun control 100%. I believe our tax money should be used to buy back all weapons from Governments. They have the worst track records of killing people, especially innocent non combatants.
An important, insightful read on the topic is Why Meadow Died, https://www.amazon.com/Why-Meadow-Died- … amp;sr=8-1
by Judy Specht 7 years ago
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