Lichtman aka Nostradamus of Presidential elections warn democrats

1. 76

   Lone Wolf Primeposted 11 months ago

   He warns that Kamala Harris wining this year's election is not a forgone conclusion, regardless of what the polls and media want you to believe.  He explains his key system to predict these elections is that if six or more keys are proven false, then the incumbent party will lose the election.  If five or less keys are proven false, then the incumbent party wins. 
   
   https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/wh … r-AA1oEBLa
   
   What are your thoughts on this?  Is he right that the democrats shouldn't just assume Kamala has this election in the bag?  Or do you think Kamala is a shoe in to win?

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2. 61

   Willowarborposted 11 months ago

   Setting all of the various research and policy matters aside, I'd offer just my view from an everyday life. 
   
   Many Americans prefer to be forward looking. Trump continually has people looking back.  He can't give up the stolen election narrative, he speaks about Hillary, Obama and Biden more than he does of Harris.  It's not appealing.   
   
   His vision of America is dark and negative, even apocalyptic.  In my experience, I find that people embrace positivity and joy much more so than the pessimistic vision Trump offers up.
   
   
   In my circle, we don't name call, purposely mispronounce others names or flagrantly lie.  We don't attack or question each other's race or ethnicity. 
   
   Harris is the future while Trump is the past. She is nice while he is angry. She speaks in a focused logical manner while he is meandering, boring and juvenile.   Trump needs to learn a new routine immediately if he's to have any chance.  Regurgitating the 2016 playbook didn't work in 2020 and it certainly isn't going to work this year.
   
   I actually think that Harris will pick up at least one state that went for Trump last election.

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   1. 76

      Lone Wolf Primeposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      Well either way, I think we can all agree that nobody on either party should take this election lightly, as I think everyone should try to vote this year if they can because I have a feeling this could be a close election.

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