“A House built on Sand? Or, Rock?” Congressional projections.
Race to the White House / Front Page (Main landing page) by Logan Phillips
https://www.racetothewh.com/
Race to the White House About Page
https://www.racetothewh.com/about
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House 2024 Forecast & Projections (Last updated Oct 18 2:46pm ET)
Our House Forecast projects the chance both parties have of winning the majority. It uses data-driven projections to predict the outcome of all 435 races. Every day, it runs 20,000 simulations of the election. In 2022, our forecast called 96.3% of House Races correctly. We came just one seat short of perfectly predicting the total number of seats the GOP would win (we predicted they would win 223 seats, and they finished with 222).
https://www.racetothewh.com/house
Does Trump need the House to be on his side?
Does Harris need the House to be on her side?
Go to House 2024 Forecast & Predictions to see a deep dive with a detailed analysis of the House with graphics for:
** Races Where Democrats Gained in the last 10 Days
** Races Where Republicans Gained in the last 10 Days
** Race Rating for All 435 Districts
** Top 50 Seats Most Likely to Flip Parties
** Explore our Projection for Each Congressional Race
** Choose a District - Competitive Races are Listed First
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The Senate 2024 Forecast (Last updated Oct 18 11:46am ET)
The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2024 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the majority.
We’ve correctly predicted Democrat’s narrow Senate majority in the last two election cycles and came just one seat shy in 2022 of perfectly predicting the # of seats the parties would win in both Senate and the House, - which was closer than any election forecaster that cycle.
https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24
Does Trump need the Senate to be on his side?
Does Harris need the Senate to be on her side?
Go to The 2024 Senate Forecast to see a deep dive with a detailed analysis of the Senate with graphics for:
** Interactive map with seat chart
** Senate snapshot – Key races
** How the race changes based on the Presidential Election
** Biggest changes in the last 50 days
** Predictions for each Senate Race – Choose your state
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Oh yeah, see predictions for 2024 Presidential Race too! (Last updated Oct 18 3:04pm ET)
https://www.racetothewh.com/president/2024
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Question: Will it be a stalemate, again?
Thoughts, criticisms, accolades, and/or commentary?
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