Do you think war will break out on the Korean Peninsula soon?

1. 79

   wiserworldposted 12 years ago

   Do you think war will break out on the Korean Peninsula soon?

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2. 61

   Amber Vynposted 12 years ago

   The situation in North Korea completely fascinates me. I don't think that war will break out. The Kim regime knows that it would be a case of 'committing suicide together'. However, there will probably be cases of 'local war', like the Cheonan navy ship in 2010.
   
   Kim Jeong Eun is very young (presumably only 29 or 30). In Korea's Confucian society, this means that he has a lot to prove to the military. He might engage in some bombing to prove that he is strong militarily.
   
   While South Korea's policy is that the North Korean economy needs to improve before unification can occur, I think this is misguided. The longer the North Korean people live without modern education and technology, the worse off they are - regardless of the small improvements in the economy.

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3. 0

   JThomp42posted 12 years ago

   No, It is only a ploy by Kim Jong-Un to try and get sanctions lifted off of his starving country because of his father's ridiculous actions as well. He may be "out there" but he is not going to risk the U.S. striking and blowing his country totally off of the map. There is nothing to be gained. He is just acting like his father.

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4. 67

   conradofontanillaposted 12 years ago

   Technically the war assumes two faces: declaration of war and shooting war. So far, North Korea has declared "state of war" on South Korea. However, there is no shooting war. In the case of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941, the shooting war came ahead of the declaration of war by Japan on US. Declaration was moot and academic owing to the attack. So, in the present Korean crisis,  either side can fire a shot on the other that would constitute a shooting war.
   There is now a war between NK and SK, especially, as reported, NK abrogated the cease-fire agreement entered into in 1953. Anyway that agreement did not end the civil war between the two that started in 1950 yet.
   The question is: who will start the shooting war? I have two recent Hubs on the Korea problem, one on NK declaring a state of war on SK, the other on why SK and the US will not fire the first shot.

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5. 66

   jjmylesposted 12 years ago

   No I do not think so. The Korean President knows that they do not have the capability to win a war against the United States.

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6. 63

   mintinfoposted 12 years ago

   I think that the whole situation will fizzle out like a dud firecracker. North Korea is only existing right now because they have some type of crude nuclear weapon to bargin with. Their main ally China is staying quiet. They have decided not to help North Korea anymore but they also hope North Korea won't commit suicide and contaminate the whole Asia Pacific region with radiation. That is why it most likely will fizzle out.

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7. 60

   Sharpencilposted 12 years ago

   No. This is most likely another case of "Wag the Dog". Most of the information we receive is filtered and manipulated by the US government to either reinforce our faith in our government over our military, which we all already know our military is absolutely more than adequate to overpower NK. Or, our Gov. is simply using this as a way to hide the truth about more self incriminating issues - possibly not even related to NK. This has been standard conduct for our manipulative government for decades.

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8. 75

   Marsden4posted 12 years ago

   No, tensions always rise around this time of year.
   
   After the training sessions end it will calm back down. I think Kim Il Sung is a much less aggressive leader than either of his ancestors.
   
   Although, the question remains as to what degree he is a puppet of his military generals.

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9. 60

   djashburnalposted 12 years ago

   Maybe not soon but it is coming.
   
   My reasoning is that many like to point out that NK has made threats like this throughout its history, I counter that by pointing out Kim Jung I'll made threats, we have no historical basis to compare these threats with Kim Jung Un. Not to mention that I have a lot of friends in the military from when I was in. About once a week another one is getting sent there, were building up our forces on the ground...
   
   Not to mention that NK doesn't have to use nukes to make a huge mess in SK. Their conventional weapons, like artillery, can cause severe damage to US and SK forces while their army invades. That army has more numbers than US and SK forces over there.
   
   Don't get me wrong, I feel we'd win the war in the end but it got the potential to happen and it will be a long fight.
   
   Also, what if we in the US or SK decide to do a preemptive strike, that would force the norths hand. If Kim Jung Un is trying to consolidate his military power, he can't ignore that, regardless of his intentions now.

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10. 59

    RosesProseposted 12 years ago

    It's very hard to know what is going on in his mind.
    He allows his people to starve.
    But I think he is in a tight situation.
    We really hope for the sake of Japan he does not strike.
    But if he does this is a war to end all wars.

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