Do you believe in political polls?

Jump to Last Post 1-2 of 2 discussions (5 posts)
  1. ptosis profile image66
    ptosisposted 7 years ago

    Do you believe in political polls?

    I personally think that political polls are biased. So the one I believe is the one that is most accurate IMHO : Clinton -333 favorite to win - Trump +240 underdog, according to sportsbooks monitored by

  2. dashingscorpio profile image81
    dashingscorpioposted 7 years ago

    There are some highly reputable polls which have proven to be fairly accurate over the years. The Gallup Poll is one noteworthy example.
    Having said that it's easy for there to be bias in polls based upon what questions are asked or not asked.
    Also if you ask people who they are going to vote for and only present Trump and Clinton as their only options you're likely to have a different percentage outcome than if you gave the people four candidates to choose from including (Gary Johnson and Jill Stein).
    Polls are deficient in that they usually only measure popular vote scenarios. However in the U.S. it's the Electoral College state by state winner take all that determines the outcome.
    The winner of California alone will get 55 of the needed 270 electoral votes. That's 20%!. Blue and Red states rarely swap.
    This process makes it possible for someone to win the popular vote across the country but still lose the election. This is what happened in the 2000 election where Gore had more popular votes than George W. Bush.
    Ultimately a poll is nothing more than a snapshot tool measuring one moment in time that gives candidates a feel for the pulse of the voters. It can motivate the campaign to work harder if it's close or cause some voters to stay home if it's not close.
    The ask: "If the election were being held (today)....etc"
    All it takes is one news cycle or major crisis to make the wind shift.
    Note: No one ahead in the polls has ever complained about the polls.

    1. ptosis profile image66
      ptosisposted 7 years agoin reply to this

      Heard that the betting odds place is the most accurate over the years. Probably because people are betting $$  where their mouth  is.

    2. bradmasterOCcal profile image48
      bradmasterOCcalposted 7 years agoin reply to this

      Political Polls are only somewhat accurate because it is a tool of social engineering, telling the sheep what to do. It should be called the Pavlov Polls. I am going to ring the bell now.

    3. dashingscorpio profile image81
      dashingscorpioposted 7 years agoin reply to this

      I get calls at my home conducting polls. None of them involve telling me who to vote for.
      These days they're not even human beings calling!
      They ask you to press numbers in response to questions.
      Do you feel reporting poll results is bad?


This website uses cookies

As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

Show Details
HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)
ClickscoThis is a data management platform studying reader behavior (Privacy Policy)