Rasmussen has a tie, Fox has a tie, Pew has a tie, ABC/Washington Post have Obama ahead by 1 as do CBS.
Gallup has Romney ahead by 5, National Journal has Obama ahead by 5 and they can probably both be written off as outliers and are older than the above which are fresh off the press.
Polling Averages have Obama ahead in the electoral college 290 to 248 but several states are way too close to call.
Vote swing across the polls seems to be very very slightly towards Obama, it's going to be a close one folks.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls … -1171.html
In spite of the fact that Republican super pacs are blitzing PA and other states right now, and in spite of the closeness of the polls, I don't think Romney will win in the end. The good economic data that came out today, NJ Gov. Christie's warm support of Obama's response to Hurricane Sandy and Mayor Bloomberg's endorsement are all a tailwind for the President.
Plus the Obama response to Hurricane Sandy has been excellent and though nothing has been said, you can't help comparing it in your head to the way the Bush Administration handled Katrina. I think Obama will end up with both the electoral and popular votes-- hope so anyway. I'd hate to see another 2000 type debacle.
I like these two sites for analysis of the polls, trends, changing EC count, etc.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.co … more-36634
Just discovered this one today!
I keep hearing about how Obama is leading here in Ohio, but you sure wouldn't think so if you went by where we live...it's definitely Romney country!
Is that because you have talked to so many people?
Don't let signs convince you of anything.
Yes, as a matter of fact, I have talked to people--online and in person also. And what signs are you talking about? I think that the signs that people have in their yards are a pretty good sign of who they are going to vote for, don't you? And around here, they are running probably 15-1 for Romney.
I'm not saying that I'm voting for him--I'm most likely voting for an Independent, but am still researching.. I'm just saying that in this part of Ohio, there are definitely more Romney supporters.
I just returned from my mailbox. Every presidential election, another forest dies. Just saying...
On another note, there is a website out there that specializes in the prediction market. And they never, ever get it wrong. According to them, Obama wins.
Not for anything, but if they're so hot, how come they wait till the last minute to predict? Isn't that kind of like ... cheating?
Where have they been all these many months and millions of dollars wasted?
Not to mention partisan warfare here @ Hub Pages!
I mean, we could have been talking about cake decorating and Honey BooBoo all this time! Who knew!!??
From Political Wire here are the Latest Swing State Polls
November 2, 2012 here are the latest polls from the battleground states:
Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Denver Post/SurveyUSA)
Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Gravis)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Mellman)
New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (New England College)
New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Gravis)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (CNN/ORC)
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)
Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)
Meanwhile, the party's in full swing at the polling place.
Here we go.
Starting in... everyone's favorite voting black hole... FLORIDA.
http://current.com/community/93948577_g … orhood.htm
I read it. Those Roseanne Barr votes were important!
This is an outrage! I hope every single person in the US reads this article. It's bad enough that the Romney people have lied so often and so much, but THIS? I think I'm going to throw up!
These GOP governors appoint GOP secretaries of state who preside over elections.
They don't even try to hide their agenda.
You heard what the PA governor said -- voter supression (oops, I mean anti-voter fraud) efforts would "deliver the state for Romney."
This has got to stop.
That does not appear to be a reliable source.
Canada had a questionable 'electronic' voting system next to the 'robo-calls' misdirects bs I think actual hand ballots should be used next to electronic voting too, just to be safe. That's absolutely horrible if those voting numbers were deliberately changed
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