Who is more likely to become the next president? Trump or Clinton?
With the presidential race already roaring for 2016 there are 2 canidates that have a distinct advantage. Clinton rushing for power as the first female president, or Trumps crazy antics and stupid remarks have pushed him ahead. Who do you feel has more of an advantage and which canidate over all do you want to win?
As a non-American, I really don't know, but honestly, I can't see Donald Trump making a good president. As for Hilary, who knows? She certainly has more experience in the diplomatic and political world than Trump does.
Clinton is far more likely. While she is divisive, most of her haters aren't going to vote Democrat no matter who the candidate is, so it's kind of a moot point. Trump has alienated too many groups, and even other Republicans hate him. I don't think he's likely to actually get the nomination. If he actually does get the nomination, I imagine he'll scare away too many moderates and left-leaning conservatives. If Clinton does indeed secure the Democrat nomination, and she is running against Trump... she is far more polished, experienced, and a better politician all around than Trump is, and that's completely objective without any regard to their respective platforms.
Of course, the majority of people will still vote for their party regardless of who the nomination is, as always it will be about the moderates. And, I suppose, if you leave enough of your party disgruntled that they don't even want to vote at all.
Lots of people are "emotionally invested" regarding these questions.
However if one steps away from any party affiliation and simply looks at the layout of "blue states and red states" along with each party's platform agenda. If I were placing a bet I would go with Clinton to win.
She also has a chance of winning a couple of southern states such as her native Arkansas where Bill was a popular governor.
Barring any significant changes in the economy most blue and red states will remain the same. A candidate only needs 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidency.
In 2012 Obama got 332 versus Romney's 206.
Latinos voted for President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney by 71% to 27%, according to an analysis of exit polls by the Pew. Based upon Trump's statements regarding deporting 11 million people and building a "great wall" on the border it's probably safe to say he would garner even less of the Latino vote than Romney did.
While Trump will win or hold his own regarding economic debates he's likely to reveal his weakness concerning foreign diplomacy matters along with being able to identify world leaders and issues.
Then there is the Bill Clinton factor. Out of all the living ex presidents Bill Clinton is the most popular despite having been impeached.
Lots of people have fond memories regarding the economy during his tenure and the government surplus the nation had versus it's deficits today. Although a lot of votes dislike Hillary they may think a vote for Hill is a vote for Bill. He'll be one of her closest confidants ready to offer her advice. Some folks may see it as his 3rd term.
Last but not least there's a possibility some voters will not pass up their first opportunity to vote for a woman presidential candidate. This is especially true of the college age and young voters age 30 & under.
It should be noted that the way the RNC is behaving they're going to do their best to keep Trump from winning their party's nomination. Therefore all the talk of Trump VS Clinton may be for naught.
Putting personal prejudice into the question weights the answer to what you want, rather than a real opinion.
Simply phrasing the question as Clinton or Trump would have been a more neutral question.
Evidently you are a loyal democrat.
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