How accurate can media political polls be when pollsters like ABC insist on oversampling Democrats?
A recent ABC poll has Hillary Clinton ahead of Trump by 12 points, and ABC maintains that a 9 point over sample of Democrats is legit. But is that true?
In 1980 up to the last minute the polls had Carter ahead by 9 points. The result, he lost to Reagan by 9 points. An 18 point disparity in the national poll then.
I think we are looking at a repeat of history in the polls. If Trump was really down 10 or more points in the polls he wouldn't be getting 10's of thousands at Trump Rallies, every one, while not even a thousand at Hillary rallies.
The media is as crooked as Hillary.
I'm certain that the polls are off, and are a bit better for Trump than things appear, but I don't think the polls are flat out wrong. Clinton does seem to be ahead...
That's good,liberals want so bad to believe it that they will probably stay home& notvote thinking Hillary will win in a landslide anyway.That's exactly how privileged they believe they r & how little enthusiasm the left really has for HRC
by Ralph Schwartz17 months ago
Does anyone trust political polling anymore?We've all heard the news...Hillary up 10 points, now Trump up 3, wait, now Hillary is back up, hold on, now it's tied......seriously, does anyone believe any of them at this...
by alexandriaruthk5 years ago
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by John Wilson18 months ago
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by Susie Lehto17 months ago
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by Jack Lee16 months ago
Does political polls matter any more?In light of recent events, does any political polls matter? How accurate are they? It seems to me, if I am a pollster, I would go back to the drawing board and find out what went...
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