Since I no longer watch any CNN coverage, I can only speak to Fox's coverage. They are taking every opportunity, or what if to predict a Trump win—against all of the polls that are saying Biden has the edge.
So, what are your predictions? Are the polls right, is Pres. Trump toast? Are the polls simply partisan talking points to be discounted or accepted based on political partisanship?
I think the polls are fair indicators of public disclosure, but when it comes to Pres. Trump, I am unsure that that same disclosure is as accurate as it is being promoted to be. (I think there may be a lot of Trump voters that won't publically admit that they are)
What do you think folks . . . Is Pres. Trump a sure winner, is the race a toss-up at this point, or is Biden clearly in the lead—a lead that will confirm the polls?
Really too early to tell. The news is saying it is all about COVID, being sure to mention next that cases are rising while ignoring falling fatality rates, to promote Biden. But one expert mentioned that "up to" 1/3 of the country is suffering from "COVID fatigue" (the newest label) - those people seem likely to vote Trump.
And then we have the latest economic news, that the economy grew at the fastest rate in history the third quarter at 33.1% - all about Trump, unless the gullible can be convinced it is still about Obama and thus Biden.
Early voting seems leaning to Biden, but I would expect that with people voting by mail, while later votes may well lean Trump.
Last time all polls said a resounding CLINTON!, and this time it getting closer and closer to a tie - that means Trump if pollsters haven't changed their ways.
Some pretty big issues, but still so twisted and wrapped up I couldn't begin to give a guess.
Of course, there are a lot of variables still in play, you mentioned a few, but my thoughts are that Pres. Trump has alienated more Independent voters than he has convinced. I think he is toast.
You may very well be right. Or not - that big, silent, group that went to work for the first time may not have spoken yet.
I'm not willing to make a prediction yet - there are just too many variables and the voting polls aren't clear enough yet for me.
This is hard to call. I canvas in my Michigan community. My county is the third-largest in Michigan. Trump has a huge ground game in Michigan. I have never witnessed one that would compare. This election due to the increase in mail-in voting we offer our help filling out forms, and rides to the polls. If Trump has this type of ground game in other swing states, I can't see him losing. My county was Dem up to the 2020 election and turned largely Rep, in 2016 and has remained Rep. Trump will win my county hands down. I can honestly say I have never witnessed such enthusiasm. I have never seen the signage for any Presidential election in my life. He should win Michigan, but will Trump win? I think so but would not bet on the race. I think he will capture more of the Black vote, independent vote, as well as Latino vote. His message is upbeat, many of us are done with all the doom and gloom "dark winter". We know what we have to face, and hopefully, we as Americans see it's time to pull up the old bootstraps and get to work and do it without all the hand wringing. But, I will admit we do have lots of hand-wringers in our society.
Trump has lost the support of the independents that were willing to take a chance with him in 2016.
I think Biden will win the Electoral College and the popular vote, but the danger is that Trump and company will use the Court to declare him winner regardless because of some slight of hand.
Today Trump is in my community, it cold, snowing, and blowing! People have been out from before sunrise lining out streets, we now have a four-mile back up to the area he is now speaking. Just to show Michigans' support for Trump. I in all my life have ever witnessed this kind of support for a president. At this point, it would be hard to even think he would lose Michigan as polls predict. I can't imagine how many turned out just to hold up their flags, and signs.
You could be witnessing Credence2's hidden cabal of Trump voters. ;-)
I can't see him losing Michigan, yet who knows. Due to our Governor's strict lockdowns, many are discouraged with Government oversite. I would think with Joe talking mask mandates, and further lockdowns many undecided voters will vote for Trump here in Michigan. I am so anxious to see what way American's will vote. It will certainly offer a good picture of our society's mindset.
Biden will win with 350+ electoral votes.
Voter turnout will win the day.
All early indications are that there will be massive voter turn out, (or turn-in relative to mail-in ballots).
Biden will win with 3,498 electoral votes. The news media, the left and the internet giants will all swear that is how many votes there have always been in the electoral college. Any who question will be banned from social media sites, drummed out of restaurants and whipped in the streets as a display of peaceful protest.
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