Firstly, Forbes on June 4, says;
"The outcome of the presidential election likely hinges on six purple states President Joe Biden won in 2020—but he trails former President Donald Trump in all of them, according to RealClearPolitics’ polling averages, with less than six months before the November general election."
Trump-Biden 2024 Polls: Here’s Who’s Winning In The 6 States That Will Decide The Election by Forbes (Jun 4, 2024)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2 … -election/
Key to swing states is swing voters. Makes sense right? Maybe not. Is it worth knowing about swing voters. If curious the following study conducted from Apr 19 - May 4 offers insight into swing voters.
Measuring the Swing: Evaluating the Key Voters of 2024 by Data for Progress (May 30, 2024)
https://www.dataforprogress.org/insight … rs-of-2024
It is a lengthy report plum full of graphics worthy of peek. The key takeaways are:
** The swing voters of the 2024 election are younger and more diverse than the composition of the overall 2024 likely voter population.
** Swing voters reject ideological and partisan labels.
** Swing voters broadly lean left on government spending, taxes on the wealthy, and social equity.
** Swing voters are politically disengaged.
** Swing voters slightly prefer Trump over Biden in a race between the two candidates, but many are unsure and defect to third-party candidates.
** Their focus is on the economy.
** Swing voters say they want Biden to take more action — not less.
** Swing voters’ main concern is Biden’s age and ability to handle the job — not his ideology.
** That said, swing voters are more concerned about Trump’s criminal charges and threats to democracy (48%) than Biden’s age and mental and physical health (41%).
** Swing voters trust Trump more than Biden on the economy, immigration, and foreign policy.
** There is no evidence that a rightward ideological pivot would solve Biden’s problems with swing voters.
by Tim Mitchell 6 months ago
The undecidedResults of a nationwide New York Times/Siena College poll conducted among 3,385 likely voters from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6, 2024 says the undecided are 5% of the electorate. There are approximately 210 million registered voters for 2024. That means there are 10.5 million undecided...
by Sharlee 2 years ago
WSJ editorial board says Biden shouldn't run in 2024: 'His decline is clearPlease read -- https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-sec … e-23dd7cbeThe Wall Street Journal editorial board argued President Joe Biden is too old to run for re-election Friday, admitting reports he is...
by J Conn 6 months ago
1.) Corruption a.) Trump just offered to sell policy to the oil industry for $1 billion b.) Tried to blackmail a foreign country to get a fake investigation c.) Tried to steal a presidential election with blatant lies d.) ...
by Tim Mitchell 13 months ago
Wavering Black voters: Biden is flawed — and Trump is unacceptable by NBC News (Feb 29, 2024)https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-e … rcna140786"Months of polling has shown a segment Black voters, a key part of President Joe Biden’s base, souring on his performance and growing more...
by J Conn 6 months ago
Here's a place for all the recent polling.
by Ken Burgess 5 months ago
Prior to the Debate... and then Assassination attempt... and then Biden stepping down...My evaluation of how things were trending weeks ago led me to believe that (fair election or not) the Democrats were going to win the election... as I have often noted on here before:Women make up 52% or more of...
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