One study shares 15% of voters say their vote is not certain.

1. 75

   tsmogposted 11 months ago

   The latest Redfield & Wilton study was published on Aug 23, 2024.
   
   US Presidential Election National Voting Intention (21 August)
   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com … 21-august/
   
   "When weighted by likelihood to vote, and excluding undecided voters, 85% of likely voters say their vote is certain, against 15% who say it could still change.
   
   Similar numbers of likely Trump (87%) and Harris (88%) voters also say their vote is certain. 13% of likely Trump voters say their vote could still change, while 12% of likely Harris voters also say their vote could still change."
   
   
   
   
   
   Yup, still too early to tell isn't it. It is speculation at best to predict a clear winner I would suppose, though loyalist will hold the line for their candidate/party.
   
   What about those 15% who could change their vote? It is suggested that swing voters are 6 - 10% of voters. Are they all independent voters or are some of those within the party?
   
   Thoughts, accolades, criticisms, and/or commentary?

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      Sharlee01posted 11 months agoin reply to this

      There is a lot of uncertainty that seems to be in the air right now. With so many significant issues at play—like the economy, abortion, the border situation, and international conflicts—voters are likely weighing their options very carefully to the very last minute. I mean who knows what is next?
      
      The promises from candidates can often feel like they're just trying to win votes, which makes it hard for people to know who to trust. It does sound like this election could be particularly unpredictable and revealing of the country's priorities and values. This one will be a nail-biter.

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      Kathleen Cochranposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      Five percent is all it takes to make a difference in our elections. Just vote. It is the only option you have.
      
      https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/20 … ledgments/

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2. 73

   Ken Burgessposted 11 months ago

   Wow... Tim has a +10% favorability?
   
   Well, that shows that MSM is still influential... or... perhaps we have a larger portion of the population that is wanting socialism/communism than I had imagined.
   
   Or maybe polls are worthless biased garbage telling the reader what they want them to think.
   
   Who knows?

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   Judah's Daughterposted 11 months ago

   This data was just prior to RFK Jr. joining the Trump team.  Dr. Jill Stein just endorsed Trump as well!  The traditional values of the Democrat Party have been hijacked by Marxism/Communism.  The Blue Elites have pushed out every challenger using lawfare and other means, while claiming "Democracy is on the ballot!"

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      Kathryn L Hillposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      The Biden Harris administration has broken Constitutional laws. Harris and Walz should not even be running.
      
      Article IV section 4 says the United States is supposed to protect every state from invaders.
      
      Has protection been provided for our southern border states?
      No.
      
      The United States is also supposed to protect the states against domestic violence.
      
      Did Nancy Pelosi protect the capital on J6 by bringing in the National Guard against the instigators of a reality show called  "J6 Insurrection," put on by Antifa and probably unknown others?
      No, as she herself admitted.
      
      Did the liberal officials, in the states where illegal BLM protests were allowed, do anything to protect the cities, buildings, parks and shops from all the mayhem and destruction during "occupation?"
      No.
      
      Have the American people held government officials of either party accountable by expressing their outrage of not being protected as required by the Constitution of The United States?
      No.

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      Ken Burgessposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      This is true, it is part of UN/WEF Agenda 2030 and the planned transformation of all Western nations.
      
      This transformation effort is further along in the UK, Canada and EU where they have less freedoms and in some cases are socialist states.
      
      In most of these nations, they have made owning weapons illegal and expressing opinions online can be penalized with significant jail time.
      
      They are arresting so many people in the UK right now for making comments online that they have instituted a One in One out policy for their jail system... literally releasing rapists and murderers early for people arrested for making mean comments online.
      
      This was almost guaranteed to occur when they passed the Online Safety Bill a couple years back:
      https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2022/08/u … encryption
      
      The EU has done the same.  As has Canada.  Speech is now a crime punishable with long term jail sentences... up to Life Imprisonment without the possibility for parole... for posts on Social Media.
      https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68409929
      
      I hope you realize that is where we are headed as well with Harris.
      
      It will be time to find something else to do, other than make posts online.
      
      And maybe that will be a good thing, more time outdoors doing real things, less time online expressing one's opinions.
      
      That might not be a bad thing at all.

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         Kathryn L Hillposted 11 months agoin reply to this

         True , we learn so much and enjoy interacting on social media.
         
         We must hold the government accountable.
         First Amendment:
         Congress shall make no laws respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.
         
         --->  or the right of the people to assemble peaceably to petition the government for a redress of grievances.

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   Kathryn L Hillposted 11 months ago

   Its time for us to speak up by voting. (or even not voting!) Now is our chance to have a revolution.
   
   We either vote for Trump or have four more years of the downward spiral set forth by Biden and Harris.
   
   The snowball effect only gets faster and faster and further and further down the mountain.
   
   There we will be stuck.
   and why?
   
   Because we hate Trump so much.

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   Judah's Daughterposted 11 months ago

   There will be no buyer's remorse if Kammunist Harris is appointed or elected.  Worse yet, if the House and Senate go to a Left majority, they'll wreak havoc and FASTER than the last four years!  VOTE NO for Harris-Walz absolutely!  Communism takes hold very fast and we can say farewell to future elections.
   
   Trump used to be a Democrat; Vance, too! RFK Jr., Elon Musk, Tulsi Gabbard three!  America First unites them.  It used to be less polarized in the United States.  We are now more divided than ever.  According to the polls it's nearly 50/50!  Free speech used to be paramount and foreign wars were to be avoided, not instigated (such as expanding NATO to the borders of Russia and funding Iran with billion$ for prisoner exchanges!)  The Bear was poked and Iran empowered.  No one ever opened the border like Biden-Harris!
   
   Bring this Country together again with the Unity Party of Trump and his Administration of American-loving patriots!  All of U.S. were better off four years ago, even in the midst of a pandemic!

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      Kathryn L Hillposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      Thank You.

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      Ken Burgessposted 11 months agoin reply to this

      All that and then some... and the vast majority of people who go out and vote for Democrat politicians will prioritize NONE of that.
      
      That is what seems to be misunderstood.
      
      There are people who consider Inflation, Wars, Borders as their top issues.
      
      But there are slightly more that put Abortion and saving the planet from the imminent doom of Climate Change as their top/primary issues.

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