Is AI a social problem, today? What is your p(doom) score?

1. 86

   tsmogposted 6 weeks ago

   Is AI a social problem today?
   
   From Google University generative AI the answer is:
   
   Yes, artificial intelligence (AI) is a social issue because it can have a significant impact on society. AI can raise concerns about privacy, bias, and job loss, and it can also perpetuate existing inequalities.
   
   Privacy and surveillance
   ** AI can be used for surveillance, which can raise concerns about privacy.
   ** AI systems can create social graphs or profiles that can be used to predict a person's sexuality, religion, or political beliefs.
   
   Bias and discrimination
   ** AI systems can replicate and amplify biases based on race, gender, and other social factors.
   ** AI systems can be used in decision-making processes, such as hiring, lending, and criminal justice, which can lead to discriminatory outcomes.
   
   Job loss
   ** AI can automate repetitive tasks, which could lead to job loss and high unemployment rates.
   ** Media and science fiction have portrayed AI as something that can replace entire jobs, not just some tasks.
   
   Healthcare
   ** AI applications in healthcare can raise concerns about ethics, trust, and access.
   ** AI systems can be used to improve treatment processes, but they are not accessible to all societies.
   
   Other social issues
   ** AI can harm human physical and mental integrity.
   ** AI can reduce human autonomy.
   ** AI can create ethical and legal challenges.
   
   
   
   Americans Express Real Concerns About Artificial Intelligence by Gallup (Aug 27, 2024)
   Few trust businesses to use it responsibly, but transparency could help
   https://news.gallup.com/poll/648953/ame … gence.aspx
   
   
   
   From Infosys arrives . . .
   
   How AI can be detrimental to our social fabric by Infosys
   https://www.infosysbpm.com/blogs/busine … abric.html
   
   The article states detriments to society could/would be . . .
   ** Job automation leading to high unemployment rates
   ** AI bias and rise in socio-economic inequality
   ** Abuse of data and loss of control
   ** Privacy, security and deepfakes
   ** Financial instability
   ** Impact on cognitive and social skills
   
   What is a p(doom) score?
   
   "A "p(doom)" score, short for "probability of doom," is a term used in the AI community to represent the likelihood that artificial intelligence will lead to a catastrophic event, often interpreted as human extinction, signifying how likely someone believes AI could destroy humanity; essentially, it's a measure of how worried someone is about the potential existential risks of advanced AI."
   
   The range is 0 → 100 where zero is none and 100 is 100% certainty.
   
   The computation for your p(doom) score, of course, is subjective. It would be based on your knowledge base of AI in areas from the military weapons to the medical/health community, old wives tales, and speculation using the imagination.
   
   Some notable p(doom) scores are:
   
   Elon Musk = 10 - 20%
   Nate Silver (founder of 538) = 5 - 10%
   Daniel Kokotajlo (Forecaster & former OpenAI researcher) = 70%
   Dan Hendrycks (Head of Center for AI Safety) = >80%
   
   To see the full list see . . .
   
   List of p(doom) values by PauseAI
   https://pauseai.info/pdoom
   
   Using the questions Gallup asked, your knowledge or lack thereof for AI, and speculation what would you think your p(doom) score is?
   
   Thoughts, criticisms, accolades, and/or commentary?
   
   P.S. Today, I put my p(doom) score at 35 - 40% based mainly on my personal experience with it and knowledge base.

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2. 86

   Venkatachari Mposted 6 weeks ago

   Tim, I appreciate your deep dive into this subject. You provided some important facts with supported links. It is a 40 - 50% for me.

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   1. 86

      tsmogposted 6 weeks agoin reply to this

      Thanks for contribution, Venkat.
      
      I take a position of somewhat being ignorant as I explore AI everyday now for a month or more. Each day I learn something new, revealing, and eye opening prompting me to respond with awe.
      
      Have you any experience with AI in your life today? How about its usage in India?
      
      Again using Google University Generative AI a few industries using AI 'today' are . . .
      
      Artificial intelligence (AI) is used in many industries, including finance, healthcare, manufacturing, marketing, agriculture, and entertainment.
      
      Finance
      ** AI is used to detect fraud, forecast growth, and automate trading
      
      Healthcare
      ** AI is used to improve diagnosis and treatment, develop new drugs, and monitor patients remotely
      ** AI can analyze patient data to find trends and predict illness development
      
      Manufacturing
      ** AI is used to automate processes and improve productivity
      ** General Electric is one company that uses AI in its manufacturing process
      
      Marketing
      ** AI is used to analyze consumer behavior patterns and create content and distribution strategies for specific customer preferences
      
      Agriculture
      ** AI is used to monitor crop health, soil conditions, and weather patterns ** AI is used to grow healthier crops and control pests
      
      Entertainment
      ** AI is used to personalize content, enhance visual effects, and automate production
      
      Real Estate
      ** AI is used to provide property valuations by analyzing market trends, historical data, and property features
      ** Companies like Zillow and Redfin use AI to offer automated property valuation services

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