By how many votes Obama will win?

1. 56

   Lgaliposted 15 years ago

   I think 60% to 40%

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2. 85

   livelongerposted 15 years ago

   In terms of popular vote, I think it will be smaller, like 51% Obama, 46% McCain (with the remaining 3% going to 3rd-party candidates like Nader and Barr).
   
   In terms of electoral college votes, I'm guessing 330 Obama, 208 McCain.
   
   And I'm wondering what all the cynics (Mark, I'm talking about you) will say when their "never gonna happen" predictions get debunked.

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   1. 57

      Mark Knowlesposted 15 years agoin reply to this

      Me cynical?
      
      I would be very surprised if McCain wins.
      
      I would be as surprised if Obama changes anything
      
      Obama is at best, the better of two evils. I mean. the man is prepared to spend how much money getting elected? McCain I find scary. Palin I find extremely scary.
      
      I hope Obama wins, purely because I don't see how he can make things any worse than they already are. If he does win, he is going to need a thick skin.
      
      And I never said, "never gonna happen."
      
      But feel free to quote me. I know you know how to do that

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      1. 85

         livelongerposted 15 years agoin reply to this

         I guess it's a matter of setting expectations. He won't magically transform the U.S. into utopia. But he can pull us out of a war, enact civil union legislation, restart Clintonomics, etc.
         
         
         
         You need a lot. But at least the bulk of his money has come from regular people donating $25 here, $50 there. You might argue that it's a waste, but I'd argue he has a very large, broad swathe of lobbyists who will effectively be making sure their money was well spent...or else it will dry up by the time he has to be reelected.
         
         
         Couldn't agree more.
         
         
         He's already demonstrated that he has that.
         
         
         
         I can't seem to find the post from among the *ahem!* over 4600 posts. But I remember you saying the powers that be would never let him win. Well, we'll see.

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         1. 57

            Mark Knowlesposted 15 years agoin reply to this

            Is it that many?
            
            Now you see through my evil plan.

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         2. 57

            Mark Knowlesposted 15 years agoin reply to this

            I remember what I said now.
            
            "The powers-that-be will never allow him to make any substantial changes." Or something along those lines
            
            We shall see.
            
            Thank goodness McCain/Palin lost.
            
            Does that mean America is now a Muslim Nation?.......

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            1. 0

               sandra rinckposted 15 years agoin reply to this

               Palin was ready to cry during McCains speach in Az.  I almost felt bad for her because now she has to go back to her congregation and tell them she doesn't know.  lol.

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   2. 83

      kerrygposted 15 years agoin reply to this

      That's about what FiveThirtyEight is predicting (51.5 and 46.4)
      
      There have been rumors of a conspiracy to hack voting machines in some key areas and grant McCain a win by 3 electoral votes, but the polls have been so strong for Obama that, "Dewey Defeats Truman" not withstanding, I think that scenario becomes less and less plausible the closer we get. At this point, the theft would be blatant, especially if exit polls show an Obama win too, and if they get away with stealing their third election in a row, then democracy is well and truly dead in this country.

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      1. 85

         livelongerposted 15 years agoin reply to this

         I agree. The gap is too wide now. I fully understand that GOP dirty tricks can swing things considerably in their favor, but not that much. There would be riots in the streets, and not a single foreign government would recognize a McCain administration as a legitimate one.

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3. 60

   Milla Mahnoposted 15 years ago

   A couple of votes perhaps?

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4. 56

   Lgaliposted 15 years ago

   i still think 60 to 40%

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5. 0

   sandra rinckposted 15 years ago

   I bet he wins by 777 votes. lol hahahhahahaha

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6. 79

   Uninvited Writerposted 15 years ago

   How about 165,000,000

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7. 77

   DJ Funktualposted 15 years ago

   SOUNDTRACK TO CHANGE
   
   Yes We Can Can - The Pointer Sisters ~ 1973
   
   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v894vHM5L4M

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8. 77

   DJ Funktualposted 15 years ago

   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bX7V6FAo … re=related
   
   Edwin Starr!

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9. 76

   Lissieposted 15 years ago

   McCann has conceded  i discovered it via hubpages - thanks Kenny http://hubpages.com/hub/Obama_victory

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10. 85

    livelongerposted 15 years ago

    Hmm... I seem to remember you saying they wouldn't let him win, but never mind. Yes, we'll see.
    
    I guess it depends on what you mean by having changes made. I suspect my expectations are more modest than yours, Mark, but then again, you do live in France, where the government really does fear the people.
    
    Oh, I'm sure right-wingers will be wailing about the Muslim thing for a while...

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11. 56

    Lgaliposted 15 years ago

    I am happy that my prediction was right.
    
    Obamania sweeps USA

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